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garylaverick

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Everything posted by garylaverick

  1. Certainly a great week going out with an epic bang. I know there's many who want a 2-3 week spell, but for me personally I'd be happy with 1 great week and then back to normal. Look at this GIF of the precipitation. Really illustrates the frontal snow heading up on Friday after a week of convective snow.
  2. And we're back. Yeah low looks a lot further north but go forward a few slides and we're in the frontal snow! However you can see the milder air that has been dragged over the south and Midlands and will eventually result in the end of our cold spell too. Of course by this point were hoping to be knee deep anyway!
  3. 28mm accumulation by Friday morning. I've heard we can expect a conversion rate of up to 1:20 due to the depth of cold delivering dry powder snow, so that would make 56cm (22") of snow!
  4. I'll add a GIF of the precipitation from the 18z once it's fully out. It's ludacris, I've certainly not seen anything like it. The amount of kinks crossing us are endless and just keep on delivering.
  5. I imagine should the low stay south then our convection off the north sea would be at similar levels to the early to mid part of the week, which were expecting (touch wood) to be pretty decent in the deeply cold and unstable easterly flow. Already some nice disturbances coming through on the FAX charts.
  6. From what I can see if the low came a bit further North it could result in serious frontal snow for us, to the detriment of those in the south who'll have the milder uppers dragged over them. Where it is modelled at the moment it'll result in increased convective snow for us and keep us in the cold uppers, but the frontal snow would be south of us. Obviously too far North and it'll drag those mild uppers over us too.
  7. GFS 18z rolling now and we can expect the negative uppers to be crossing our beaches any moment now.
  8. That's a good amount on the roof! I'm guessing the ground was wet when it started hence not building up as much there? We shouldn't have that problem this time with these ground temps.
  9. I think Nick meant a foot of level snow not drifts. I imagine we'll be seeing some huge drifts over the Cheviots by the end of next week.
  10. An incredibly persistent period of snow being modelled for the NE, unlike anything I've seen before.
  11. Simply an incredible setup, certainly the best I've seen since I joined here 14 years ago as a 15 year old school kid! Have you even seen precipitation charts with snow over us for such a prolonged period of time?! First showers looking to hit around early hours of Monday.
  12. I think due to the sheer persistence of the snow in the NE during the week we'll have greater totals. I don't think we'll see the same level of intensity as they will from that low, but we'll be snowed in by the time the low arrives. Also remember that the low will tighten the isobars and pep up convection from the NSSM even further, win win!
  13. A quick look out of the office window would suggest a couple of cms. I think the wet ground has absorbed a lot of the depth from underneath.
  14. Still decent snowfall in Washington, not a blizzard but it's been consistent since 7.30am. Low is slipping away so I imagine we'll see the snow stop by midday here.
  15. Precipitation really looks to be intensifying as it approaches land when you watch the radar loop. A benefit of a warm North Sea I'd imagine.
  16. As the low sinks south it is dragging the cold in behind it so yes keep a watch for a change to snow.
  17. Hopefully the slow moving low can keep pulling the ppn in for a good while and conditions stay right for snowfall, could be a good few hours.
  18. Heavy snow in Washington, settling readily on all surfaces.
  19. I work in a secondary school and the new system of naming storms is really working to raise awareness. All of the kids are talking about Abigail and have a real awareness of it.
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