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Everything posted by Pennine Ten Foot Drifts
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Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Might have improved a bit by then, but current situation: "M62 is virtually impassable and being closed periodically to be ploughed. Severe disruption & two/three hour delays both ways" -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
If you check the link to the cameras I just posted you can see that at the moment it's at a standstill. They may well get it running again over the next few hours, but the weather needs to improve a bit before it's running normally again I'd have thought, and looking at the radar that isn't going to happen for a few hours yet over the top (J22). What time is the flight ? -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Cameras make for interesting viewing at the moment, glad I'm not on there https://www.motorwaycameras.co.uk/england/m62/eastbound/traffic-camera/267 -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Getting reports M62 is shut over the top, that doesn't happen very often -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
It's days like this that I regret being a home worker, no 'snow days' -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
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Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yes absolutely, just showed a current UK radar image on the TV and there were a few showers over central Scotland (i.e. the 'red' warning area), a few showers over NE England (i.e. the 'amber' warning area), and big thick blob of precipitation of west and south Yorkshire............ But never mind, I prefer them to have got it wrong that way round :-) -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yes indeed GW, a much more snowy day here because of that, right now having one of the most intense showers so far. Perhaps down to the change in wind direction to a more direct easterly ? -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
I wonder if Sausage is feeling any happier !!! -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Exactly, in this setup accurately predicting actual snowfall is extremely difficult even 36 hours ahead. Of course one location will do better than other, but to try and pinpoint those 2-3 days in advance is a waste of time. As it stands it's almost certain everywhere in Yorkshire will see snow over the next five days, (but how much is impossible to be precise about), and right now towards the end of next week is looking very interesting for our area (but this of course could well change). -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Aye, if GFS is to be believed large parts of Yorkshire won't get above freezing for a week. If that happens that will be a pretty remarkable cold spell. -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Agreed, I'll be very surprised if the depression modeled for next weekend stays like that, looks a prime candidate for the dreaded 'southward corrections' evolution to me -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Aye, as my sig suggests, deepest snow I've seen in the 'internet age' is 37 cms level snow in 2010, although the drifts were bigger in 2013, but that was when I lived up on top of a Pennine hill, now down in Huddersfield, so will be interesting to see how such conditions impact an urban area. Mind you I was a young lad in mid-Wales in the '81/'82 winter, our village was cut off for 5 days, that's the most severe snowstorm I've ever personally witnessed, it'll take something extraordinary to beat that I think........... -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yep, on latest output there is either heavy frequent showers or prolonged snowfall for the whole of next week from Tuesday onwards, with a full on major snowstorm currently showing for next weekend. Obviously still a long way out so quite likely to change, but if that scenario plays out some parts of our region will be buried, it could actually be quite serious. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What a strange place this has become....... The ECM 12z operational shows virtually the whole of the UK under at least -5 to -10 air, briefly flirting with -15, from T120 right out to T240. The slightly 'messy' picture in fact means more potential for smaller scale disturbances and troughs, so more likelihood of snow, and yet people are not happy ??? Honestly, how much would most people have given for charts like these at just about any point over the last 6 or 7 years ???: It's beyond bizarre ! -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Well we've had light (very occasionally moderate) snow since 9.00 am, pointlessly floating down onto wet ground.............. Nice to look at I suppose -
Model output discussion - mid January
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know it almost certainly won't happen, but how often do we see -10 850s from an Atlantic depression ?- 2,804 replies
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Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Moderate snow in Huddersfield, starting to stick -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Gosh, not another small depression getting steadily shunted further south with each run, how unusual............... -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yep, 'tis true, settling but won't add up to to much I wouldn't have thought -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
This one might make the news though, I can see there's a good chance of 2 cms in London.......... -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yep, as per my post yesterday, experience suggests that in these type of situations corrections are almost invariable southwards. I'm not entirely sure why that is, unless the models for some reason often under-estimate surface cold in the UK - maybe because the proximity of a huge body of water means that until the models are able to take account of short range current surface conditions they don't deal with the effect of higher pressure and surface cold on the level of deflection of 'slider' low pressures ? -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Agreed, any further corrections will be southwards. I think prolonged heavy snow unlikely for our region on Sunday. Some in more southern parts of our region will see a bit though. -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Absolutely PIT, what's the amber warning for ??? -
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
Pennine Ten Foot Drifts replied to A.J's topic in Regional