h2005__uk__

What sort of setup is required to get 30C+ in such areas? I remember it happened on several occasions last summer where East Anglia was hottest.

Am I right in saying that setup could result in warmer conditions for the east than those experienced on Saturday? Much of Norfolk, Suffolk and Essex failed to hit 30C at the weekend.

Unfortunately here in mid-Essex (and parts of Suffolk/Norfolk), this summer continues to be uneventful - just missed reaching 30C today and missed the two rounds of recent thunderstorms; plus of course, like the rest of the UK, we were plagued by the cool start to the month and not getting the most of the hot uppers now. June hasn't even been notable for high rainfall levels here - it's been wet but not exceptional. I have hope that July to September will deliver something more notable - hopefully at least one 30+C day and, if not, then some good thunderstorms at least!

Disappointing here in mid-Essex in terms of not getting above 30C. As the WQ Radar map below shows, there was a band of MetO stations from Chelmsford north/north-eastwards across Suffolk and east Norfolk which didn't hit 30C. I recorded 28.6C, my nearest MetO one (Writtle) got to 29.2C and second nearest (Andrewsfield) reached 28.6C. Most models were quite accurate in predicting where the line between >30C and <30C would be 'drawn'.

Is a cut-off low good or bad for UK weather?

http://www.weathercast.co.uk/world-weather/weather-stations/obsid/99163.html The map at the bottom (ignore any errors) has links to other stations.

Where can I see the UKV model please? Had a look but can't find it.

None of the models are going for 30+C at the weekend as far as I know but, interestingly, WeatherPro is showing 30C for Essex and 31C for London.

In that video, the MetO are forecasting these maxes for London: Tue 29C; Wed 29C; Thu 30C; Fri 31C. However, their website has these: Tue 25C; Wed 23C; Thu 23C; Fri 23C. Significantly different - I don't think I've seen such a variation between a video forecast and an online forecast from the same body. Is this a stark example of the weather apps and models struggling, meaning human input is required? Do the online forecasts have no human input at all then?

Yesterday at 9am I recorded 18C & 85% humidity... this morning at 9am it was 22C & 82% humidity. Therefore feeling very oppressive, especially compared to last week when it was 22C with just 52% humidity.

I think people saying 'oh well it'll still be nice if it's mid-20s' are missing the point. As others have said, we're weather enthusiasts on here so will be interested in extremes. In the UK summer, that's 30+C depending on your location. My employer doesn't understand the benefits of A/C so it gets to 26-28C inside even when it's 'only' mid-20sC outside. That for me is very unpleasant... and with no interesting weather either. I'd accept it being hot inside (and even hotter) if it meant something interesting was happening with the weather. Similarly, it annoys me in winter when there's 1cm of snow and it causes disruption. I'd rather it be 20cm of snow - there'd be more disruption, but at least it'd be interesting weather-wise. So the apparent downgrading of the forthcoming plume is, for me, disappointing.

Are the people going for Gravesend aware that the MetO station there shut down because a theme park is to be developed on the land? https://www.kentonline.co.uk/gravesend/news/famous-weather-station-closed-191601/ Obviously won't make a difference if you still want Kent as your county hotspot (the nearest MetO station to Gravesend is now East Malling, also in Kent), but you may not want Kent if you chose it because of the famously 'hot' Gravesend!

I could feel the increase in humidity here (Chelmsford) as early as this morning. I'm currently recording 22.2C, 62% humidity. This time yesterday it was 20C but just 50% humidity.

32.6C, Heathrow, Saturday.

Why are so many still expecting to see very hot weather in the coming week? The models have delayed it and watered it down, the BBC/MetO don't seem sure, the weather apps don't support it now (I know they're not 100% reliable, but still), there's a risk of an easterly flow/cloud cover and we've had a cool, wet period so the ground's not already warm. The only thing seems to be these weirdly high uppers?

What do people reckon about the temps for mid-Essex next week? The weather apps (not 100% useful, I know) had 26-27C for early in the week, then it changed to 28-30C, now it's 26-27C all week. Today's GFS, which has pushed things back, seems to be indicating 30C here may not be reached until late next week. I'm a bit cautious about the possible cloud cover issue, as that's restricted temps during hot weather before, e.g. late July 2014.

The ECM's thundery low seems to have spooked WeatherPro, which uses a blend of models - down from highs of 30-31C to 26-28C for SE England next week now.

Elizabeth Rizzini on the BBC London (radio) weather said she thought next week could get to, or close to, 30C.... she also said 34/35C is showing on some models but she thinks that's a bit far-fetched. Presumably just her opinion, but how can she think that when virtually all the evidence is pointing to London easily reaching at least the low 30sC?!

The WeatherPro app has picked up the signals. Last night it was showing a max of 26C for next week in London, now showing 29C on Wednesday. I expect it'll soon be throwing up a 30C.

Thanks. Where did that calculation come from? Is it something you created?

Halfway through June and I've recorded an average max of 18.5C so far, skewed by the 1st and 2nd which were 25C and 27.1C. Looking back at past Junes (my data goes to 2014), the number of days not reaching 20C ranges from 6 (2018) to 15 (2014 & 2015). So far this June, 12 days haven't made it. I suspect it'll end up beating 15.

How are the indices calculated?

Unfortunately the temps forecast by these apps for London/Essex for the coming week have been eroded day by day, in line with the posters on here commenting on a downgrade. Now showing nothing higher than 20/21C, but a thunderstorm risk remains for SE England. Fingers crossed that won't get eroded away too as it'd be nice to have some bangs rather than just continuing rain.

Does MeteoGroup use a blend of models? Both WeatherPro and BBC apps (i.e. MeteoGroup) have been showing London maxes around 24/25C next week for several days now.

Here in Essex we've not been doing too well with temperatures if it's extremes you're after. I recorded a high of 29.5C at the beginning of the week and the nearby MetO station recorded about 28C, but the rest of the week has been no higher than about 27C. London's not been doing much better either. Maybe this weekend could see the turn of the SE to get some real heat? Amazing run of weather though. I don't overly like hot weather, but I put up with it if it's meteorologically interesting (i.e. above the magic 30C mark!).