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Everything posted by WeatherWatchmanG
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It just looks like a single patern to me 40mph gusts from Wednesday until late Thursday in London. It only drops down to low 30s briefly wouldn't see it as a seperate event.
- 32 replies
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- storm gerrit
- yellow warnings
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(and 2 more)
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London looks like it might be complaining what all the fus is about, at least I hope that is the outcome.
- 1,699 replies
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- 2
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- storm ciaran
- gales
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(and 5 more)
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Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Did anyone see the wavey looking lines between clouds at about 4:30-5pm today about 15 minutes before the storms arrived. those lines were very fine and plentyful. I didnt have my phone to take pics at the time. Never seen anything like it. Cloud all around so no blue sky but fine wavy lines amoungst the cloud. -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Same here, a few large drops for less than a minute and some distant booming thunder. Yes a watch was issued, on the netweather home page however I think it's more intense than expected. -
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Somewhere between London and Wiltshire it will be explosive we have rain moving from the north east and the other mess of rain heading straight from the south. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
it's only Sun thundery, heavy rain band Mon lunchtime and 40+ mph tue-wed after that yes its chilly by comparison to what we've had it's just some rain not all day wet. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From the windy app which takes from multiple models it looks like Wednesday is the most prolongued and windiest day after that it's calming down greatly, just Tuesday and Wednesday after this you are talking low 30mph and even sub 15 mph by the folowing weekend. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
thats just crazy talk, its just not going to happen also even models a few days out at having a hard time. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How reliable is the wind forecast for next week? every day from Tuesday 40+ mph on the computerised app forecasts mainly metoffice and metcheck. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I watch the weather channel and fox weather and Margo even as of next Tuesday has barely moved north it's heading towards America then correcting back to the same path and because of this I can't see it posing any risk until maybe the week after next. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I only use US models for hurricanes and it is nothing more than a fish storm it wont make landfall and it will most likely just vanish to almost nothing in the Atlantic and go nowhere. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It was not that long ago that charts showed a deep low on the 18th over the UK. It's far to early to even know with two hurricanes and one yet to be tropical storm to exist very soon a lot can and will change. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How is that even possible when the NHC from America show it heading towards spain and this is Saturday that its still no where near the UK. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS still keeping that well to our north. I think some peoples wishful thinking steers what charts they like to hook there teeth into following. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lee isn't heading straight north either, it's going to take a soft curve left any direct effects / indirect even will be at least a week out. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
might this not actually drag up heat albiet briefly also those two one has 0% and another 10% chance of development beyond just being a normal low. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well I just looked at tropicaltidbits and assuming the latest runs for the hurricane path follows through heat will return. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Are the reds high pressure? GEFS I had a look at the postage stamp sheet only 10 of the 32 show a low arriving on the 18-19th September. I don't understand if thats showing high pressure and the GEFS shows only 10 out of 32 with the low on the 18th why so many are thinking a strong low will arrive or are they holding up hope for some storms and this is why the bigger picture is ignored? -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS isn't showing this deep low at all from both the midday and 6am from today just shows a low as a bubble but this isn't an ex-hurricane so what is it? -
It was watermaked with TikTok mind.
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No thank you keep that for October, and as for winter keep that for January.
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
its time after the 23rd and no sooner , it's going to be too easy to know what will happen over a week out with all this mess in the Atlantic. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wouldn't even listen to a grain of this video, it just will not happen. I know because I trust a better source than TikTok. Oh and if anything it might be knocked away by that low that the GFS shows arriving on the 6am model from today thats forecast for the 18th September. It might cause the ridge of all ridges and a true indian summer like I've said that will happen since June. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WeatherWatchmanG replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
tell the MetOffice shows London feels like 26c at 3am, meanwhile BBC says 20c I don't know which to believe between those two.