inghams85

Call me mad but for me that ECM 12Z is the best run of the winter so far! Two very important reasons........ 1) The ECM shows insanely good vertical advection at a decent timeframe 2) A pattern like this 99/100 will steadily be moved east. The timing of the current west best placement of the ridge over Greenland is perfect to set us up on the bullseye by the times the models hit 0hundred hours. Watch this edge east. I suspect sundays12z's to have a few of you excited......im extremely confident on this

I don't think there's been enough positivity spun on IF's comments above. High to the West - Trough over or to the East. This doesn't sound like a West based - NAO at all! Two other things to decipher: 1) A very firm NO to Bluearmy suggesting a west based - NAO 2) The date of the 28th (The met don't see a snowfest on the 24th,25th,26th or 27th.......) They have however for a while seen a signal for a deeper more prolonged cold spell from the 28th upto +360 hours. Any snow before this date was always a bonus squeezed about by unexpected amplification before then. This is something Tamara has been banging on and on about. It's the post Christmas into first week of January where the colder charts will come from

What is striking about the 47 and 62 charts is the -EPO ridge (similar to the ingredients building for the pattern change at the end of December)