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Connor Bailey Degnan

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Everything posted by Connor Bailey Degnan

  1. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Clear move towards the ecm from the icon and gfs. watch the ecm deliver a 2010 style set up later
  2. Connor Bailey Degnan
    JMA winter forecast update, looking very cold indeed, just for fun, look at February, wow!
  3. Connor Bailey Degnan
    18z gefs mean at 276hrs, slight upgrade on the 12z, night all :).
  4. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Most annoying thing is regarding 18z is mainland Europe hasn’t Cooled down enough, and ssts haven’t cooled enough. The chart for next Friday is very similar to 2010, just the uppers not matching it. Keeping the faith though, let’s hope for upgrades or something from then North/ North East a little further down the line.
  5. Connor Bailey Degnan
    NAO and AO still looking like tanking...
  6. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Updated Euro 4. Tasty evap cooling
  7. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Quite a downgrade on all 12z models in terms of depths of cold and snow. Unsettled and dreary for most with snow limited to northern hills.
  8. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Relatively slim I'd imagine, but who knows..
  9. Connor Bailey Degnan
    What an outrageous 6z. FI but its gaining support. Easter Sunday snowman anyone?
  10. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Looks like the Easter bunny is doing his best to bring us cold on that chart ?
  11. Connor Bailey Degnan
    The Ukmo, a number of gfs ens and even the Navgem is why things are far from certain. Would still be cold for a time but limited snow Let's hope the other models have this one in the bag
  12. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Covering in M Rasen Lincs
  13. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Ecm Mean supportive of uk wide snow on Friday, with everywhere comfortably in low enough uppers.
  14. Connor Bailey Degnan
    120 ukmo:) stunning
  15. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Ukmo Beautiful
  16. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Icon 18z a tad further south, imo better for prolonging the cold.
  17. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Ukmo perfect for England and Wales, not so great for Scotland.
  18. Connor Bailey Degnan
    2018 v 2010 LET THE BATTLE COMMENCE
  19. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Arpege 6z looks not perfect, but a good deal better than its 0z output.
  20. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Another stunning ecm mean. From 12z yesterday, each mean of the ecm has gradually become more and more favourable for us.
  21. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Keep calm everyone, the beast is coming to pay his visit next week, severity of cold and snow is to be determined. GEFS Mean at 168 shows how things could set up perfectly for us, potential disruptive snow, esp in east. Ukmo, although not as good, would still give England and Wales a good shot at snow showers, with ofc the potential for streamers.
  22. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Looking good still, but important to highlight what can go wrong. Main worry. 30% as per ec op. We see the high collapse over uk, esp north. Leading to very cold weather further south and scuppering snow chances. 70% confidence of direct hit to the UK.
  23. Connor Bailey Degnan
    It would suggest the Op is somewhat of an outlier, yes. Here is yesterdays 12z mean chart at 168, and today's side by side. If anything, i prefer the 0z.
  24. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Beautiful ecm mean, phew
  25. Connor Bailey Degnan
    Bonkers gfs run. From this to this in 3 days ?
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