Day 10

Couldn't, could it???

ECM

iand61

Not heard that kind of forecast for a lonnnnnnnnnnnnnng time.

Another shift south of Thursday's snow line.

In fact, it may affect everyone.

First up is Tuesday's system clearing south, some more northern and eastern parts of the region seeing some possible back edge snow.

itsnowjoke Hopefully snow warnings in the next few days

Iceaxecrampon I reckon Tuesday will have the right track for Thursday.

@Chris.R SST's continuing to drop too mate

Had Worse The mod thread is always a bit skewed to towards a southerly bias mate. Here is a better view for some of our region. I've checked the hourly, it actually shows about 5 hours worth of snow before moving away and then we have the next one following in further north. Hell of a lot to play for, lots of chopping & changing to come.

Iceaxecrampon Lovely mate! Going to be a lot of north a bit, south a bit next week. To add to your charts.... GFS & ECM. From about Thursday next week could be the start of a long cold spell when the longer range GFS is also showing this... Talk of Spring is way way premature.

Quick one before heading out. Currently, I would say the snow risk towards end of next week is anywhere above the blue line. The good thing is that there is bags of time for this to change.

Chris.R Was that the one where we had an amber warning snatched away at the 11th hour? If so, yeah very painful indeed that was.

I think the GFS was listening

Chris.R Yeah, it's rubbish, too much messing.

moochops Fair enough too, the world would be boring if we all agreed!

moochops Because at first glance, all you are seeing is a name with an arrow. Too much faffing about now and content doesn't flow properly from the naked eye without having to highlight names or text.

moochops I personally think it's a step backwards.

iand61 Exactly, it's either above the top line or below the bottom one. Can anyone remember the last time we had region wide snowfall and during daylight hours too as they also seem to be getting rarer? March 2013 maybe??

Thunder Snow Crap isn't it (the new system).

Just outside the reliable, too far north on the latest GFS but not by much. The snow boundary is going to move multiple times and somewhere is going to get plastered by the looks of it.

Second half of the GFS 6z just a tad chilly!

TEITS Not half! Absolute belter!

Morning all. The Met update - Tues 6th - Thurs 15th Most likely unsettled at first for much of the UK. Turning colder across northern areas with showers, which will turn wintery at times especially over higher ground but to lower levels at times too. Cloud and rain being pushed in from the Atlantic may well be forced to track further south across the south of the country where it may remain milder but with more persistent rain, especially in the west. Exactly where the boundary between these two regimes lies is still rather uncertain at the moment. However, there is a chance of wintery conditions developing more widely across the northern edge of this boundary through the second half of next week for a time. A couple of charts from the latest GFS & ECM. A perfect illustration of how difficult the up and coming cold spell is going to be forecast, someone could well end up with a few days of snowfall here. Obviously this will chop and change quite a bit yet but this looks far more interesting than the last cold spell.