Day 10

A decent north to north westerly with uppers of -9 or a system pushing up from the sw bumping into cold air, both seemingly becoming harder and harder to come by. Aside from the belter of 2010 some of our best snowfalls actually come in March when these systems from the sw are able to track that bit further north.

Perfect illustration of why the Wirral & normally Liverpool is one of the toughest places to take when it comes to snowfall. We really need near perfect conditions to get it, I've sat here when 90% of the region get snowfall many times while we have rain. I am hopeful we get some at some point this week in the form of showers before & after Tuesday's possible feature. Our modern day average is now about 1 in 5 years compared to maybe 1 in 2 20 years ago, very poor. Last year was our first for 5 years.

Not awake yet lol, an improvement for us living nearer the coasts this morning that's for sure. Next week, Tues - Fri in short - looks like snow showers then a mix of rain/snow then back to snow showers, I'll certainly take that! Now where's my coffee.

That'l do mate, thank you & goodnight

I prefer your version

No real change with the icon, snow to the left, snow to the right and rain where it always rains. In a word CRAP! (for here, before anyone jumps on me)

We are a hardy bunch up north, I don't think anybody is (giving up).

Who's giving up?

For me, as it stands.... Late Wednesday to early Friday look the region's best chance of snowfall down to sea level as a whole. The feature on Tuesday at the minute just isn't going to cut it for many. Monday - Baltic & Dry Tuesday - Less cold with rain & snow Wednesday to Friday - Cold with possible snow showers developing. Big caveat about Tuesday is today is only Friday so it will most likely alter once again, which could have a huge impact on what falls from the sky. That's my take anyway.

The end of next week looks better but that's miles off. Hopefully the wind will swing more N'westerly, too westerly at the mo for the region as a whole.

Yeah Will, ties in with the Mets thinking. West of Manchester not great, still time for changes though.

Hope that rain bit disappears over the coming days, because that means the usual places that get rain get rain. Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday: Rather cloudy with isolated showers on Sunday. Sunnier skies on Monday with an area of rain and snow potentially moving across the region overnight. Feeling cold with brisk coastal winds. Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Fri 12 Jan 2024

It's because I asked the Mrs where the sledge was last night .

It's this sudden westerly that's barged in, hope it switches back to a north westerly then we'll be in business. GFS & UKMO

This is the first time I'm doubting snow from this cold shot from the north now. To me, it looks bitterly cold first part of the week but mostly dry, followed by less cold mid-week with possible rain maybe snow on the hills, and then end of the week a colder push again by which time we are entering FI . Hope for upgrades because I think we are turning the wrong way today, just my opinion but hopefully I'm wrong.

162 though, getting pushed back again. It just seems that when things move closer, something gets picked up which cuts off the flow.

Well the gfs looks pretty uneventful out to day 5, cuts off the arctic flow before it gets going really. No point going any further, UKMO looks similar to day 4 also.

I'll be disappointed if it doesn't look like this by Wed. https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/usa/wisconsin/greendale-broad-street-cam.html

Welcome

@Chris.R I would of thought this setup would be perfect for the region, any ideas why it is showing rain for most in -9 to -10 uppers?

There's that less cold blip before the arctic air replaces it once more. Bit of a messy rain, sleet, snow mix further north. It continues south but looks like snow only higher up to me. FI in terms of snow is about 48hrs though so this is just another option and it is the 6z GFS.

The dogs dinner is rolling, what will it throw up next? The Arctic air heading in at t66, not far off now.

Something like this Joe would be sound.

Our thread is superb, love it.