Paul Sherman
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Posts posted by Paul Sherman
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2 minutes ago, Ice Day said:
Having a hefty hail storm here, everything is going white.... not for the last time this week hopefully
Really strange weather here this morning
Thick Fog rolling up the Estuary interspersed with heavy convective rain
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22 minutes ago, snow raven said:
@Paul Sherman @kold weather A stupid question to ask, but when the transition from rain to snow starts happening overnight, will the dew points be low enough for it to start settling? I would hate to wake up tomorrow morning to see it snowing, but not settling anywhere.
(If I'm not already jumping the gun for assuming the snow will make it as far West as Bexleyheath!)
Probably between midnight and 3am
If you were on XC Weather the temp and Dp would pretty much fall in line with each other so like
6c/5c
5c/4c
4c/3c
And so on looks like 1c per hour
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8 minutes ago, starstream said:
What’s your opinion for Maldon/ Danbury ? We’re in the amber but kind of tucked in along the coast.
Well within the 6-8 Inch Zone in your location
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4 minutes ago, Don said:
I said last week this winter is perhaps shaping up to be similar to 1985/86?
Certainly looking like it could be
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But on a serious note the GFS is pretty good in the 7-10 day range at picking up signals and this is the only thing I rate about it.
The Pub Run is showing a full on Scandi High with a 1055 High and a 2nd shot at an even colder easterly
I know we should not even go there with this spell not even starting but if that was to set up the 2nd Easterly in the week of the 15-22nd then it would surely be up there with the coldest of Februaries, what a year after Jan being 3.4c below the Jan CET
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2 minutes ago, john mac1 said:
Go to Levi in northern Finland. It’s stunning and you’ll see the northern lights.
Got to Levi you’ll be both in abundance
I can get to Levi and Finland easy when I base out of Norway so any 1 of the 3 can be done - Love it up there, the people are amazing and its an incredible country - The wifes Eyelashes froze in March 2019 when it was -22c in Abisko lol
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1 minute ago, john mac1 said:
Love the excitement on your post. Pinching myself that this is actually happening.
I normally have to go to Finnish Lapland for my snow fox each yearIf the streamers are anything like 2009 (8inches of snow) I’ll be over the moon!!
Lol the Irony of all this
I had a flight booked for 1325 out of Gatwick to Tromso to see the Northern Lights departing Mon 8th Feb
Obviously that has been cancelled now due to Covid but the Uk might see more snow than Norway and the flight might have been cancelled anyway, funny how things work out
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Just now, Vesuvius said:What do you reckon Paul for our neck of the woods ?
Solid 20cm by the end of Sunday
Monday to Wednesday god only knows all down to luck of the streamers after that
And then the breakdown whenever that might be
Exciting times
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11 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:
Some way over the top expectations of snow depth in here!
Yes some in here will be seeing Red come Sunday
But the Majority will be happy Steve
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Meopham for me around 32cm by Midday Monday then topping out at 45cm by Midday Wednesday.
I really think this will be hit by the triple whammy of snow band, Mid Kent Streamer and the bottom of the Thames Streamer.
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1 minute ago, kold weather said:
Ironically I wouldn't be surprised if somewhere in W.Kent ends up not being far from that sort of levels once we are through, the sort of place that is at the mouth of both a Kent streamer and Thames streamer. Would be very localised but that sort of number has been achieved in similar long lasting easterlies before, especially if there is little melt during daytime.
Both UKV and AROME are locally upto 15-20cms by Sunday afternoon in parts of N.Kent, wouldn't be too unlikely to pull in another 15-20cms locally in a 48-72hrs period
Yh i was being a bit more regional wide but sure yes the North Downs at the Intersection of the heavy prolonged sunday snow, the NE mid kent streamer and ENE Thames Streamer could easily do that somewhere like Detling or Meopham
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6 minutes ago, Ian Docwra said:
Indeed - given the hype here, it will presumably be frozen by then!
Lol what hype ?
Nobody has even suggested anything over 15-20cm which is what the warnings are for.
Only that Kaswam dude said 40cm which is ridiculous
Like I said I would take a dusting at this stage and break the 35 month wait
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7 minutes ago, Snipper said:
Sorry really don’t want to appear picky but. I still find it difficult to believe in 30ft drifts having lived more than a few years in Essex. Anyone got a photo?
Will defo try and get up to my old weather books for you
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1 minute ago, Snipper said:
But 30 feet? Yes high but?
There were definately 30 foot drifts in 1987 in parts of Essex and Kent, I have numerous weather journals with these amounts with pictures, the books are in the loft but will get up there one day and take some pictures of the pages on my phone and upload them
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And if you want to see what 50cm looks like this is Braemar today and they are expecting loads more
Amazing Snowfall in Scotland this winter
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1 minute ago, Ice Day said:
Yep, I've been there. Known to locals as White City
Well you learn something new every day thanks for that.
Dont even think its on any ordanance survey map as that is it ?
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3 minutes ago, HammerJack said:
What makes 2010 better than 1991? Is it the length of the cold spell or snow depths. In 1991 I was 13 then and to this day I will never forget it and the amount of snow we had. But at that age I didn’t really care about the temps as long as it snowed. Apart from the snow in 2010, I remember it being so cold the district line train at Barking actually froze to the track.
2010 just better than 1991 for depth of snow with 34cm to 28cm of level snow and depth of cold with -18c achieved in 2010 and -13c in 1991. Also 1991 was a 4 day affair whereas 2010 was nearly 20 days
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1 minute ago, Snipper said:
You might be right but as Foulness is as flat as a pancake, out on the marshes I am not sure where it could achieve such a depth.
There is a little connurbation of houses that the MOD Use with a Pub and Post Office as well, so small it hasnt even got a name but is just east of Great Wakering, snow was drifted up to the 2nd floor of a house which was east facing I believe - But pretty sure parts of the North Downs were at 25-30ft as well in that spell
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Just now, chionomaniac said:
And get stuck in snow drifts
Not on my watch buddy
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This should cheer most up anyway
UKMO Snow depths to 6am Monday Morning shows a good few inches even way far to the West and South West of London - Jackpot zone looks to be around 10 Inches on the North Downs and parts of Suffolk and Norfolk
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1 minute ago, Snipper said:
30ft snow drifts where?
SE Essex out near Foulness - The East wind was so strong they had to plough through to villages cut off for 5 days and made a dome over the roads - Have some pictures somewhere
48cm of level snow in some spots
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16 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
I'll be doing one too...wanted to do one in 2019 but my pops passed away after caring for him and had to clear out his house.
I take it the chases are off the agenda for this year Paul?
Yh its not looking good really and down to how travel corridoors open up around the world but that is very low on most governments hit list at the moment and rightly so.
If its safe to do so I would be there in a heartbeat though as it really is my 2nd home from home out there
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3 minutes ago, Timmytour said:
Like I said just before you posted, 1987 had all the ingredients for a memorable spell, but just didn't deliver enough snow in my area. Actually it was probably ok, but knowing others had dreamy amounts of it was what made it ultimately disappointing! I imagine you fared well out of that in the east of the region as those down in the south did. That's how the cookie crumbles sometimes I guess. I remember you largely missing out from the great Thames Streamer of 2009 and the thread you had going then.
1991 stands out for me in terms of the amounts of snow and the beauty of it....lovely pure stuff without a hint of slush. For 2010 the awesome sight of trees frosted over as if deliberately decorated for Christmas is a sight I'll always remember. I'm guessing that the wind that we will get accompanying this spell will bring us more chance of showers but scupper the chances of getting those kinds of frosts?Yh 1987 had 30 foot drifts due to the wind and its why it beats Dec 2010 but yes all these are all regional as 2009 comes in 7th in my list whereas it would probably come into the Top 3 for most others
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Its going to be Interesting to see where this spell sits in my top Easterly Periods and see if it can get into the top 5
1. 1987
2. 2010
3. 1991
4. 1979
5. 2018
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Its amazing, I was right on the very south eastern edge of that building, if the skies were clear I would have seen the huge towering Cb shooting up.
Only other time I have had that much zero visibility was in 2012 in Oklahoma when we had a Temp/Dp spread of 94/80 and the sky was so milky and devoid of anything we could see was when a huge crack of thunder scared us into the car, could not see the clouds and did not even see the Cg Land
Madness