Paul Sherman
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Posts posted by Paul Sherman
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Anyway back to the Snow Risk
Will get a Mod to move all those posts above into the Covid Thread
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3 minutes ago, Southender said:
I’ll bring the dominator
Oi Thats my car and I am clearly seen in the drivers seat lol
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4 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
Sarcasm?...or serious?, looks okay by the chart you posted/
That was yesterdays run that I saved just for prosperity and for future archiving
But.........So far the 12z's are pushing this way way too far to the SE so much that even I am started to get a tad twitchy about Sunday.
Lets see what the 18z's show I guess but if the UKV starts shoving this into the North Sea for the Cod to enjoy I will be a very unhappy camper along with most of the SE but I guess for everyones woe some other regionals will be rejoicing and popping the Pomagne
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Am hoping to do a facebook live if there are 40mph winds and Blizzards at some point on Sunday as probably wont see those conditions very much in my lifetime in this country, have a country park near me which is exposed to the east so should get some serious drifting pics if snow accumulation is heavy enough, like Alexis said could be some harsh conditions out there
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Underwhelming set of 12z's so far the rollercoaster ride in full effect.
Just as an aside the front that pumps the precip into the Uk has its origins in Eastern Poland through Germany and the Low Countires which is madness. Some of my Storm Chasing Buddies in Holland are expected to get 30-40cm of snow from this as well. Going to be some stupidly low dewpoints by wednesday with some -10c to -15c readings meaning super dry continental air being imported into the Uk.
Expect to see Rime Ice and freezing fog by midweek as well so get those cameras charged peeps
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10 minutes ago, Nick F said:
T-shirt and shorts weather on Monday then. Will feel fresh in the strong NE wind
Yet you go on the BBC Climate Ramping site and they are going for 3c on Monday - Lol absolute charlatans on there
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Beast From the East for Leigh On Sea was more notable for the Depth of Cold with a -5c Maximum on the 3rd March and a notable Ice Storm. The snow depth at my house was only 5cm and I had to drive east to Shoeburyness to see where the strong wind had whipped up the snow into drifts.
Pics below show the Ice Storm Impact on Leaves and Snow drifted up at Shoeburyness MOD Land
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18 minutes ago, Jason M said:
If we were to get 15cm here it would probably be the biggest snowfall since 1991. There have been some good events around the region in the last few years but we have really missed out in this part of Essex. Had a lot of cold rain here whereas places just 15 miles west have seen snow.
i think it was late November 2009 when we got 12cm from a streamer when the wind just veered south of direct East. Usually this side of the estuary we get much less than Kent so this would be a really rare event here if it comes off.
Nov 30th to Dec 2nd 2010 saw 34cm of Level Snow here, surprised you never got anything more from that event.
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Absolutely awful model please please take no notice of it, its absolute canon fodder cant stress that enough times.
Try to think of a Formula 1 Car lining up against and old Ford Anglia and you get close to its capabilities
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Amber Warning - BOOM
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6 minutes ago, southbank said:
yep some of us at Natwest that travelled by trains were sent home as we were based in aldgate east - leaving us that lived in inner london to work the shift out . Never forget the work home not seeing so much snow since Jan 87 and the biting winds
Lol Small World
I worked for Natwest back then at Kings X House and we were sent home at Midday on that Thursday, maybe it was a group idea to send home all the employees
Small World eh
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26 minutes ago, SnowBear said:
Does my memory serve me right, was that the same year we saw freezing fog for days on end and somewhere around a 125 car pile up on the A12?
Oooh dont remember the big crash on the A12 but sounds plausible given the conditions
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4 minutes ago, Atmogenic said:
he sounds like he hasn't got a clue what he is on about
This one was better lol
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2 minutes ago, TEITS said:
Thanks Dave
Spooky Eh
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Amazing to think this is going to start pretty much to the hour from the 1991 spell almost exactly 30 years ago to the day
I remember that Thursday on the 7th Feb 1991 being sent home from work around Midday and leaving London which had a dusting and getting pretty much the last train out of Liverpool Street to get home to about 5cm that had already fallen at the start of that spell.
Does anyone have the charts for the 7th Feb 1991 ?
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If I was to have a stab at where the highest totals will be by end of play on Wednesday it would be somewhere like Meopham or Detling Hill on the North Downs with totals exceeding 30cm by then and god only knows what the drifts will be by then with 4 days of screaming North Easterlies or Easterlies blowing the snow around.
Harsh conditions in those areas
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9 minutes ago, Southender said:
Are we in ramp mode yet Paul?!
Yes Wednesday was the day I was aiming for and once we got it locked in it was all systems go. Hope the whole of the SE gets this though and not just Eastern End.
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After looking at that UKV run would expect the Meto to go Amber in an area covering Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Kent and Sussex and maybe as far west as Central London initially for the 1st Course taking us upto 2359 Sunday night. Then expect other warnings to crop up for Mon onwards next week.
Oh and please can we not have too many bust posts when it's still raining tomorrow at 5pm as we know the transition will occur sometime between 8pm tomorrow evening and Midnight.
Expecting some massive temp crashes probably of 6c in 6 hours
Good luck everyone and good things come to those that wait
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7 minutes ago, jamesgold said:
40cm in London everyone !!
Lol ridiculous estimates
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36 minutes ago, Mr_Pessimistic said:
Looks to me like another Kent clipper, as usual, heading more south on each run. So maybe a few snow flurries in the east before the low pulls away, then dry unless living north of the wash. Then probably milder later in the week. Way over hyped on the mod thread, as usual.
Thats unlike you to post something like this
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5 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:
well that puts us in thanet into marginality, but bbc and meto for ramsgate show light snow all day on sunday
Am sure all will be fine
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Yh one saving grace is its the worst model giving the maginality GFS as everyone knows is dreadful with modelling and usually gets slapped back into line kicking and screaming.
Another thing on our side is no onshore flow for most of the SE until maginality does not matter Monday onwards and only the very Eastern tip of Kent might need to worry with the NNE aspect of winds during Sunday
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SE Essex looking dodgy on those charts as well
Maybe my 35 months without a dusting is to be extended, would be hilarious if that happened and would tip me over fully to the Mets thinking that Climate change is occuring re rare snowfall events for the SE in future years if we cant get snow from a Scandi Set Up
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3 minutes ago, Stu_London said:
surely 2004 was the daddy for thundersnow - a near nationwide event as the squall front pushed south across the whole of the uk. Not a remarkable snow event in itself as was rain to snow - but a unique weather event in my memory.
OMG how did I forget that 5pm January cracker - Yh that was insane but a crashing north to south cold front as you say wasnt in a cold spell as such, Ok its 5 events Yay
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
And when its safe to do so would love to take you out there on that Unique of all roadtrips with some Giant Hail and Spinning Water Vapour thrown in.
Theres also a chance on down days we go into the Rockies and do Snow Angels even in June - See storms and Snow ALWAYS!