northwestsnow
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Everything posted by northwestsnow
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Yup. I suspect inland and elevation are going to play a part again.. look at the mins !
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
northwestsnow replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
METO quite bullish Midlands North ..
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For my location temps look very suppressed on GEFS out to next Saturday
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Mean is an upgrade at 162
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It may move north yet...
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MOGREPS says what breakdown Sorry thats Leeds London looks v good too Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99760-model-output-discussion-colder-but-how-cold-and-for-how-long/?do=findComment&comment=5008233
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Breakdown is such a horrid word.. I much prefer upgrade and after seeing cluster 1 and MOGREPS this morning I suspect today will be a good day for coldies !!
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MOGREPS + EC CLUSTER 1 = NO BREAKDOWN
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MOGREPS says what breakdown Sorry thats Leeds London looks v good too
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It's from meteociel just click ukmo and temp 850 HTH
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Yep totally run of the mill January weather.. 5 days of temps struggling to get above zero and 5 nights of -3 /-6 UKMO looks cold throughout
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UKMO is on a different planet to GFS !!
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We talking about GFS ?? Lets stick to UKMO @96 120 144 GEM similar..
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Mean looks very cold at 162
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GEFS mean 144
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UKMO please... GFS is good but unravels very quickly.i prefer longevity but each to their own of course ...
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I don't think anyone is freaking out .. Plus matt said it was somebody he probs trusts.. Anyway , all about the cold and hopefully some snow sun to Thurs, maybe Friday
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I think I've lowered my expectations over recent years TBH .. For an extended cold spell here we need stable blocking to our N NW or NE .. The upcoming Greenland block doesn't look durable at this stage ... If get sun to sat ,in my eyes that's decent, let's hope we see upgrades in snow potential as we get to the reliable period ( Fri onwards )..
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I don't think 5 days is bad but if we could squeeze 6 or 7 that would be grand.. We'll see ..
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Really happy with the 00z data... Certainly looks cold / v cold for many sun to Fri @MATTWOLVES 3has induced worries talking of Exeter breakdown by end of next week but TBH I think sun - thurs/ Fri is a decent 4 /5 day spell for us in a warming world..
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I'm OK mate thanks I was out last night and there was no Internet connection- Suffice to say I'm extremely happy with the 00z runs , fingers crossed
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That's a proper kick in the wetsuits that is.
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UKMO 144 - 168
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UKMO 144 That low is going to assist us I expect the cold air to drop south at 168...
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GEM 144 GEM 192
