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Posts posted by northwestsnow
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18z looking good at 102
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EC mean is decent ..
Looks a little further south with the low...
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MOGREPS look very good manchester ,better than I expected
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Infact days 8,9 and 10 are very cold.
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EC UKMO identical at 96
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Mike Poole kinda hoping MJO 7 might start influencing things day 10 to 15 but would like to see some appetite to show some kind of attempt at Atlantic ridges ..
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Lets see how EC views things ...
I'd like the pattern further south than UKMO the miserable !!
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bluearmy its all too North and by the time the pattern gets south enough the colder air will get mixed out.
I'm really struggling to see what EC 46 is seeing too..
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things look to be unravelling again from where I'm sat..
There is no sign of Northern Blocking taking hold after the lows ...
That's what I was banking on ,not sure where EC 46 is coming from with blocking to the NW,this side of March the way things are going !!
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frosty ground the icon is a huge downgrade though ?
I posted the 850s to prove it.
Let's hope the others upgrade
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nick sussex hopefully not nick..big 12z runs ..
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Ive seen Exeter reference heavy snow and accumulations at more than 10 days out before now ..
Perhaps I need to lower expectation ..
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I'm sorry but if next weekend is a few wintry showers over the coasts then that's another in a seriously long line of let downs.
I was hoping for something a lot better in today's update ,not even potential for something noteworthy is mentioned.
12z runs will perhaps reveal more..
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Underwhelming exeter update..
I hope ukmo model hasn't nailed it..!!
Briefly mentions some snow and wintry showers on the coasts over next weekend before HP settles over us..
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Lukesluckybunch yes we want the initial low at day 5 as far south as possible..
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MJB yes looks wet next week for most.
interest next weekend
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Lukesluckybunch mean is colder at day 9 than 18z GEFS
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Some great charts this morning
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
18Z BANKKKKKKKKKKKK IMBY