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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. An old classic from 'Mr GFS' himslef...Look on the bright side...
  2. Me too. And, I'm not really much of a 'lefty'! I heard a 'sceptic' (in reality an outright denier!) babbling-on about 'subterfuge,' 'data-rigging,' 'the globe's been cooling for years,' blah blah blah, on the radio yesterday...When will these people start using facts to back-up their claims??
  3. I wonder what the costs (to our precious economy) will be, of doing nothing?? Even with my scepticness(?) scepticity(?) scepticality(?), I wonder what'll happen if/when 90% of the world's paddy-fields are rendered useless due to inundation...Will the free-marketeers re-educate rice (as in Lysenko's 'cunning plan' to teach maize to grow in Siberia? ) to grow on mountain slopes???
  4. Quite! The 1979 New Year outbreak was given about three days to live by the MetO at the time...So, cold-spell evolution/snowfall are notoriously hard to predict - even by those who have a clue!
  5. Can I repeat: there's no problem with people's posts/views on the models reflecting their-own areas! It's not 'bias' - it's reality...For instance, why would I base my prognostications on what the GFS shows for The Old Kent Road?? Cut each-other some slack!
  6. I agree, Ian...Whether folks see 'upgrade' or 'downgrade' seems to be entirely dependent on chasing snowflakes at T+96+...We all need to wait?? A cold spell 'of sorts' has been progged for quite some time...But the details never really have...
  7. Based on my location, I'm keeping a close eye on any LPs that might move down from the NNE in FI??? But, it's far too early to be getting excited!:unsure: :unsure:
  8. Stunning pics, MAF...So much for humanity being the centre of everything!
  9. I guess it's down to snow being so marginal? Afterall, the difference between rain, sleet and snow can be a very fine balance...I don't see how anyone can really expect the MetO to 'stick its neck out' just yet - all of the models are still in the upgrade-downgrade flip-flop mode. I don't expect that to change?? :unsure: :unsure:
  10. The usual ragbag assortment of unsubstantiated claims, I see: politically-motivated, envy-motivated, sour grapes-motivated, the lot...Unfortunately, none seems to be science-motivated??
  11. Looking at the Fax charts, I'd suggest that Scotland's main problem over the weekend will be freezing fog???
  12. Some of the GFS runs have been so 'out-of-this-world,' it's hard to see how they could possibly 'upgrade'?
  13. No, CB - I was only 'thinking out loud' and trying to clarify that thinking, is all...I cannot see how hysteresis can be anything but a true phenomenon.
  14. That would imply (I think?) that hysteresis cannot operate at the subatomic scale???
  15. Maxwell's silver hammer, come's down upon your head: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy_%28arrow_of_time%29#Maxwell.27s_demon
  16. Oh well! After a brief (5 minutes or so) sunny interval, the fog's come back...
  17. Come on all??? So what, if peeps have interests in their-own areas? It seems only natural to me... Cut each-other some slack, eh??? And, enjoy the rollercoaster! :blush: :blush:
  18. Thanks CB...Good stuff!!! Is that the mechanism of hysteresis...if so it makes sense (to me) both in terms of QMS and SMS...And, it's bloody good revision!! Just a quickie?? When you chose the names Tom, Dick and Harry - were you alluding to Quantum Tunneling?? Time for a Great Escape, methinks... :blush: :blush: Anyhoo. Good work, guys!
  19. Still cold and foggy, but trees are full of waxwings...
  20. 'Morning badboy... Please can you put these posts in the 'Cold Spell' discussion - it's not really much about models??
  21. Thick fog and somewhere near 1C, -4C at Dalcross Airport!
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