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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. Methuselah
    But, I was under the impression that the raw data still hasn't been released - I thought that that was the problem??? If it has, I'd better go look at it - hadn't I?? PS: Who are 'they'???
  2. Methuselah
    IMO, all we really have, just now, is a slow and unpredictable transition to colder non-zonal weather-conditions. And NO-ONE knows exactly how that transition will pan-out??
  3. Methuselah
    Don't forget your parasol!
  4. Methuselah
    I wonder where (behind what conspiracy?) Watts et al will hide once the MetO releases all that data??? Alamo time???
  5. Methuselah
    Well, I'm expecting exactly the same snow-depth...0mm!! (23 telfords?) :unsure:
  6. Methuselah
    :lol: :lol: Aye Steve...But, I thought that the HS was based on tree-ring data (from 12(?) trees)? How can that be accounted-for by the change from analogue to digital thermometers? :unsure:
  7. Methuselah
    That's a fair question...But, if the new technology was systematically biased (with respect to the old) wouldn't there be a 'step-change' coinciding with its implementation? And, wouldn't statistical analysis reveal it quite quickly?? VP?
  8. Methuselah
    I agree! But, let's not jump to conclusions? :lol: Thanks DM... :smiliz19: But, we accept the reality of both the MWP and the LIA??? As are we all, DM. :lol:
  9. Methuselah
    But has it really? I think that most people will acknowledge the relative stability of the past 11 years...But, are we to dismiss 160 years' rising temps in favour of 11 years' no change? If we can't base policy on 160 years' data - how on earth can we base it on eleven??? Methinks that the changeover to digital technology is just the latest in a long run of red herrings? I could be wrong on that; but, I won't know until after the HADCRUT Investigation... Somebody in gaol? :smiliz19:
  10. Methuselah
    But, why does that mean that the data must have been 'fudged'? :ph34r:
  11. Methuselah
    'I don't like it, but I guess things happen that way'...In the words of the late great Johnny Cash??? :ph34r:
  12. Methuselah
    Not really sure that it looks like anything just yet, Solar??? Because, as yet, there's no concrete proof of any meaningful tampering...I think it would be better, if we all hold-fire with our accusations until after the HADCRUT Investigation?? :ph34r:
  13. Methuselah
    Apart from February 1986, I can't recall a single protracted spell of cold and snow that's demise wasn't expected long before it ever arrived...IMO, talk of a breakdown before Xmas is a tad pessimistic? It could happen, probably even will happen; but, as yet, it's all out in FI... In the mean time, many parts of Eastern and southeastern England look to be in-line for a bit of dumping come Tuesday and Wednesday; the North Sea (in Tamara's words) looks like becoming a 'snow machine'...Just enjoy it???
  14. Methuselah
    It'd be my guess that all of the models have inherent strengths, weaknesses and flaws; and, that all of those manifest themselves under specific sets of circumstances??? Whichever model 'works' best under mild zonality may quite well be next-to-useless during blocking scenarios, and vice verca... I would like to see if the new GFS is consitently any better than the outgoing version, though...
  15. Methuselah
    OMG! That must be nearly TEN telfords??
  16. Methuselah
    Thick fog and above zero...
  17. Methuselah
    Peeps, Please note that (due to limitations of space and time) lots of one-liners will disappear...
  18. Methuselah
    Dry and clear, -3C (allegedly?)
  19. Methuselah
    -1C...
  20. Methuselah
    Thanks Paul...I've never been too sure??? So, I guess that that makes the ensembles no more than a measure of the operational's uncertainty???
  21. Methuselah
    Oops! I should have read the above before I PM'd you, VP!! That'll teach me!
  22. Methuselah
    But...Isn't the operational run likely to be more accurate - by dint of the fact that it's fed the 'right' data - all the other ensemble members being given (deliberately) inaccurate information??
  23. Methuselah
    Many thanks for all the effort, VP...Can I just ask one question, though: is the diameter of the pipe really relevant? Is it not just the 'influx' (Q?) into the 'bucket' that is important??? Am I shooting myself in the head? :lol:
  24. Methuselah
    I suspect an imminent Rampede!!!
  25. Methuselah
    Why can this thing not be done by video-link? We have the technology!
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