Ah, isn't that the crux of it, Beka?
What one person perceives as cold another feels as warm; so, it's all about feelings and nothing to do with El Nino, QBO or the MJO?
That's true enough. But, as there are so few 'very' warm Septembers for an equally unlikely cold winter to follow, it's hardly surprising that the two seldom coincide.
Reaches for lucky pants!
Well, given the number holes HMG is currently digging for itself (and its not wanting to lose what's left of the party faithful, during the run-up to the GE), neither am I surprised!