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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. Methuselah
    A rather chilly (Bloody brass monkeys, actually!) windy and dry 0.8C!
  2. Methuselah
    Algorithmic (not meteorological) chaos, perhaps? One can see why Meteogroup and Met Office are suggesting something in the region of a 60% chance of January cold...? Edit: I'll be glad when the FV3 finally comes online; I'm still stuck on yesterday's 06Z!
  3. Methuselah
    Is your jukebox blowing a fuse?
  4. Methuselah
    I wouldn't be worrying unduly, peeps; look at the spread, on the GEFS ensembles: I'd be very surprised, if major changes were not going to happen...?
  5. Methuselah
    Moki's got one planned for 5 a. m.!
  6. Methuselah
    Here's the latest set of GEFS ensembles (the latest I can find, anywho!): 2m temps, on the op especially, show a clear and sustained drop, post Day 5. The 850s likewise but the control throws a couple of googlies. SLP, after the 20th, resembles those paper-chain decorations we used to make at school! PS: I had to go back and check the spelling of 'googlies'...But, winter, she's a'comin!
  7. Methuselah
    Does the Second Warming indicate the coming snowpocalypse, The End of (rainy) Days???
  8. Methuselah
    Aaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrrggghhhhh!
  9. Methuselah
    Quite a lot of c. -13 uppers, away to our northeast? It's a long and winding (and painful) road:
  10. Methuselah
    Now things are starting to get interesting:
  11. Methuselah
    Personally, I think the same way of the storm-naming malarkey as I did when it was announced: it's yet another piece of pointless social-media fluff; IMO, as the old system wasn't broke, it never needed fixing...
  12. Methuselah
    00Z GEFS ensembles for Cambridge: 850s don't indicate anything all that special. A definite trend towards rising SLP. 2m temps show a fall of sorts...?
  13. Methuselah
    Uppers would be around -5-7C, I'd guess? Nowt marginal about the grand finale, though:
  14. Methuselah
    What better night, for a possible channel runner?
  15. Methuselah
    This chart should come with the sound of sleigh bells!
  16. Methuselah
    Very first white-stuff of the season...3.2C with a moderate ESE breeze.
  17. Methuselah
    Indeed, Ice: when I think of a 'mobile weather pattern', I imagine depression after depression crashing through the UK...This pattern, on the other hand, looks more like one, huge low being pinioned from all sides; it barely moves at all!
  18. Methuselah
    I don't know, IC - the GFS Para has been pretty spot-on with today's light snow showers...?
  19. Methuselah
    It's a London-based independent radio station. If you have DAB, it should be programmed in...
  20. Methuselah
    A Met Office spokesperson was on LBC, this morning, saying that all the signals are indicative of severe winter weather, come January! In the mean time, just watch, as the models slowly-but-surely come into line...?
  21. Methuselah
    Had me confused, for a while too, Dacyfo!
  22. Methuselah
    Look at that cold pool over Europe, and a nascent Scandi high! Any more of this malarkey, and I'll be dead before New Year! PS: I've no idea where the quote box came from!
  23. Methuselah
    Me too, NWS...It looks like classic pre-pattern-change model-panic to me! Wha? Don't ask me - I'm only a model!
  24. Methuselah
    A wee word of advice, for newbies and lurkers - if I may: Don't, whenever you see a large and deep depression (forecast to be slow-moving, west of the UK) write it off as 'the usual GFS bias'...as, more often than not, it isn't...?
  25. Methuselah
    Will -8 to -9C uppers be enough to generate a few snow grains, come tomorrow afternoon? Any snow is better than no snow!
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