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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. A possible source of some impressive convection, given a favourable atmospheric temperature profile?
  2. I'm not in any way certain of that, Fred. Though I wish I was!...It's the current tendency towards 'blockiness' that's got me interested, more than anything else...
  3. And here's an example of 'only surface cold': If I remember things correctly, it was sub-zero both day and night, under widespread freezing fog? PS: One's memory ain't what it once was!
  4. They do actually say 'particularly [not exclusively] over northern hills...' See? I told you I was clutching at straws!
  5. Then again, it might simply (I'm clutching at straws here!) reflect the models' uncertainty over the direction of attack? Barring slider lows, I can only envisage low-level snow, in the South, coming either straight from the Arctic or from the nearby continent...this early in the season?
  6. Indeed NWS, my next best option, should a beast be either delayed or abandoned, is dense, persistent freezing fog, under an inversion...
  7. And this is the point, with a huge pool of cold getting into Europe, that I look for some retrogression. Or, failing that, for the possible GH to take over...
  8. When I was wittering on about the first attack of real cold coming in from the north or northwest, rather than the east, this is what I meant...Not that it'll happen either, of course...
  9. Apart from yet more bloody fireworks, it's been zip, zilch, nada!
  10. Aye folks, the only way is up! And Fred's 'snow by month's end' is definitely on the cards...
  11. Is that a trend, damianslaw, or is it down to 'random' fluctuation? 1962, '68, 69 and '70 all had cold and snow, at some time, during the period spanning late December to early January...At the time, I thought I'd found a trend. Now though, I can see that I hadn't.
  12. TBH Sleety, I can't find any evidence that warm, cold or indifferent Octobers/Novembers have the slightest impact on the following winters...Not saying that that's the case globally, just that NH weather patterns might not be too dependent on what this wee pinprick of an island experiences, through October and November...?
  13. Well you don't, so I don't get your point, feb: we have what we have?
  14. A pattern that's notoriously hard to shift, once established... And where do things go from here?
  15. I tend to agree with you, Tim, hence my liberal use of italics...Though, surely, we can't remain in this apparent 'no man's land' for ever?
  16. Morning peeps! After some notable wind and rain overnight, today has kick-off dry and sunny...moderate SW breeze and 8.3C. Will we miss today's showers? Who knows!
  17. I know it's at T+384 but, I think, there might be a small trend (toward some sort of favourably-orientated Atlantic high) developing later in the month? Nothing definite of course, at such a distance, but teeny-weeny hints of a possible attack from the northwest...Nowt to lose any sleep over yet, IMO. At the same time, however, any major advection of deep cold into Russia seems to have been 'put on hold' for the time being...? All change with the 06Z no doubt!
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