-
Posts
67,599 -
Joined
-
Days Won
210
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Methuselah
-
SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards
Methuselah replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
You're right enough, Daniel - I should have used 'many' instead of all... -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As lovely as those fax charts are, Karl, they beg an awkward question: why are eastern parts not included in the MetO's warnings? -
SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards
Methuselah replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
I assume that the Met's snow-warnings are based on their belief that the weekend's winds blow from the NW...Though it'd only need a wee shift towards due north for us to be in the firing line. I'm not too hopeful though. -
SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards
Methuselah replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Not just yet, lass...But by Monday anything could happen! -
SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards
Methuselah replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Och weel - if the MetO's warnings end up being correct, all of us in this reason can wave goodbye to any snow... -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
One for the December Fog Index, methinks: -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A chart that very-clearly screams potential...though for what is anyone's guess. -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So the putative slider-low has had its trajectory adjusted a bit north and east? So what? There are still 5 or 6 days in which can go up and down the country like a yo-yo... Anyway back the GFS. Which, BTW, does not control the weather! We do seem to still be in the realms of an amplified Atlantic ridge (of sorts). But, for how long? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So what'll it be today? Are we definitively on the slide? Or are we still firmly stuck on the roundabout? Anywho, we're off to a cracking start! -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed not...It's expired. It's dead. It's ceased to be...? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now here's a nice little twist... -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And there it is...the Triangle of Doom sticks out all on its lonesome! -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
15C in Banchory anyone? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So, it's nearly time for the next round of GFS mayhem: With the weekend's fun and games securely nailed on (or should that be deftly held together with a giant blob of Blutac!), the potential for a FI dose of super-snowy easterlies is far from a done deal...Interestingly, the ensembles show that the Op's plunge into Moominland is backed-up by only one other member... So, even though many of the building blocks seem to be coming together, just at the right time, more runs are needed. -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Aye, S...the three-month-long perpetual blizzard ( that deposits 30cm of snow each day) is clearly not on the cards. This time! -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I's hardly on its own with the foot-finding is it? Anyway, with uppers anywhere between -6 and -10C (GFS) likely, many folks will see some of the white stuff this coming weekend...Can't really complain about that, eh? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's shaping-up to be something of a throwback to the early winters of yesteryear, IMO: I can remember many-many instances of cold and snowy northerlies; '67, '68 and '69 all had them... And, if I remember rightly, the following New Years all had some kind of snowy easterlies. That's why the last few GFS runs have tweaked my interest... -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So long as it's best Colombian and not Morrisons Savers! -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is this the fourth successive run that has ended with snowfest, I mean block? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks as if the really mild air will be kept to our south: Even more interesting: -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like a mixture of rain, sleet & snow, to me: -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
T+132...looks like a slider: -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at the run-up to the weekend, this chart is not all bad: -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Methuselah replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Right then, what have we here: Snow in the North? Aye. Snow in the Northwest? Aye. Snow in the Midlands? Aye. Snow in eastern coastal regions? Aye. Snow in the Southeast? Aye. And some folks still aren't happy! -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Methuselah replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It certainly seems that way, Froze. But, given all the 'trends that never were' that teased us so badly last year, I'll think I'll temper my excitement until the 1987-esque block comes within a reliable time-frame... Until then, there's still the upcoming weekend's 'not quite Snowmageddon' to enjoy!