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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. Methuselah
    Twill be one of those days, I'm afraid: lights on, lights off, lights on, lights off...
  2. Methuselah
    4C here too...lots of showers, with a touch of sleet. In a word: dreich!
  3. Methuselah
    Seconds out. Round 809,301! May the best man win.
  4. Methuselah
    He takes after the queen mum.
  5. Methuselah
    After this arvo's outputs, the biggest problem will be to keep sane for long enough to see if they verify!
  6. Methuselah
    Of course you can...However, should you see someone you know, you'll be in for a short 'wave' drama?
  7. Methuselah
    Isn't that actually a Denbyshire (sp?) Dribbler?
  8. Methuselah
    What does that make the purb that had London's 850Hpa at -13 then!
  9. Methuselah
    Thanks for the reminder, Nick...Dr Snow (I kid you not!) will be on LBC tonight... So, let's all hope, pray, cross our fingers & toes and perform our communal snow-dance... And, praise be to the GFS. Seriously though, isn't it about time us coldies had a wee bit of luck? Let's hope the models have got it right, this time?
  10. Methuselah
    Still wall-to-wall sunshine, 5C, and wind is inching more into the NW...if it's only 2C by this time on Thursday, we could all see some of the white stuff? Can anyone hold their breath for 48 hours?
  11. Methuselah
    Me too; but we both understand at least the rudiments of probability; the average Joe who takes on faith that whatever gets printed on the front-pages of a couple of nameless newspapers, probably does not... BTW, I do not aim my criticism at the 'average Joe', for being ignorant, but at an education-system that lets so many through, without them ever learning something that is becoming ever more important - probability theory. That said, the model-outputs hardly look probabilistic, do they?
  12. Methuselah
    I think that that is because our real weather is like that: take any day, during the UK's average winter, and it's odds-on that 15 days' later it'll be mild...? If anything, I think the fact that the models don't appear to recognise this reality, goes a long way towards proving that numerical models are not as 'mild biased' as some folks would have us all believe...?
  13. Methuselah
    Therein lies one of weather forecasters' (and models') greatest bugbears: probability might make perfect sense to those of us who've been fortunate enough to study it; but, to those who haven't studied it, it's a bloody nightmare... One reason for that is, I guess, that the probability of an event vanishes the moment said 'event' occurs - It cannot, for instance, '19% snow' on Christmas Day; it can only snow or not snow? So no wonder peeps get confused...?
  14. Methuselah
    All change - GFS has pulled out a blinder. Last night's communal game of Buckaroo is this morning's mass picking up of the toys marathon...
  15. Methuselah
    Unbroken sunshine, moderate zephyrs from the WNW and 4C...Who knows what's going to happen?
  16. Methuselah
    Aye. It's almost as depressing as an EastEnders Christmas special!
  17. Methuselah
    That's it, karlos. I've had enough. I'm going to go and stick red-hot wires down my root canals!
  18. Methuselah
    Talk about 'being in suspenders'...should I take my teddy to bed, or should I opt for the cutthroat razor?
  19. Methuselah
    If just one severe, snowy blast comes our way, I'll be happy...So come on GFS18Z - give us your best??
  20. Methuselah
    Breezy, partly cloudy and 5C. At least it's not raining!
  21. Methuselah
    lol That's me off to watch University Challenge...and, when I return I'll have a head the size of a planet, and, with any luck, it'll look nothing at all like Uranus...
  22. Methuselah
    Being as coining of the term 'blizzard' has been already attributed to one Davy Crocket, I'll have to invent a new term for a fast-moving swarm of children's toys...? Och well, seeing as the outlook, as suggested by today's model-runs, looks pretty good to me...So, with that done-and-dusted, it's off to the wild frontier!
  23. Methuselah
    I bet you only got that by adding all the last 5-years' accumulations together! PS: Frosty's not alone in having used up all his 'reactions'...shut up, lassie!
  24. Methuselah
    All we need now is 'verification' from the BOM, Arpege and NOGAPS models?
  25. Methuselah
    With any luck, they'll both be showing the next, even colder, reload, too?
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