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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. Methuselah
    And, once again, this morning's GFS 06Z looks more than a tad underwhelming...
  2. Methuselah
    Then again, one could quite legitimately argue that all of the main models are moving toward the weather?
  3. Methuselah
    Clear, cold and calm, -1C..Lovely start to the day!
  4. Methuselah
    Interesting article here from John Hammond: http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/38195721
  5. Methuselah
    Some nice temps progged there, Frosty...If it ain't cold enough to snow, then 15C sounds like the next best thing, to me - 4/5C with cold, sleety rain disnae float my boat!
  6. Methuselah
    Thanks Frosty - my straw has been provided. Now, I'll bugger-off and clutch it!
  7. Methuselah
    That was some GFS...I'd be clutching at straws if I could find any!
  8. Methuselah
    I get your point, CC...But, be you pessimistic, optimistic or realistic, there are now a little more than 881/8 days of winter left. Yes, that is 881/8!
  9. Methuselah
    Winter's only over when Adele takes to the stage? I hear she's a fan of the GFS?
  10. Methuselah
    Blimey, this is like an episode of The Glums...There are still 881/2 days of winter left...
  11. Methuselah
    You'll forgive me should I hold back on the applause until The New Year?
  12. Methuselah
    Yikes! Is that your August prediction, Connor?
  13. Methuselah
    They'd be a lot less useful if they were to go into Comical Ali Mode, wouldn't they, MWB? How would the doubters see computer models if they (the models, not the doubters) never adapted to ever-changing signals, and kept to a clearly defunct script?
  14. Methuselah
    Does the recent loss of any decisive cold signal mean that all the long-range models/forecasts are useless? No. Of course it doesn't! It means that things have changed. That's all. So, stop whining about it and accept it. It's weather and it's unpredictable...Isn't that the beauty of it? There are still 89 days of winter to go - if you count today!
  15. Methuselah
    Let's hope that the GFS (the undisputed ACME of computer models) pulls a rabbit out of the hat, tonight? Well, there's still plenty of time yet...89 days? A lot can happen in 89 days!
  16. Methuselah
    And - as nobody's mention either BOM or NAVGEM - things can't be looking too bad...always a good sign, that!
  17. Methuselah
    Goodness me, that GFS was exciting!
  18. Methuselah
    Aye, Frost, I mean Karl. We have a good opportunity to put the 'background signals' to the test: will they be strong enough to dominate the foreground signals or vice versa... Or will there be a Mexican stand-off? The Good, The Bad and The Ugly perhaps?
  19. Methuselah
    I must admit it: today's 06Z is a long way from 'good'!
  20. Methuselah
    I agree. And, weren't yesterday's GFSs already hinting at a major pattern-change around mid-month? Here, I think, we have a wonderful opportunity to put the models that the MetO use to the test. Iain F has, after all, kindly advised us about what to look for...
  21. Methuselah
    Nyet Nick - Matt H has 'killed' nothing...This might be my last statement, this year, but it's nae winter yet!
  22. Methuselah
    It's not whether a T+384 chart verifies, in detail, PIT - it's whether the overall pattern maintains? Should we get to December 13, and the GFS charts verify - it's Bob's yer uncle? Otherwise, it's 'Oh Sheet'!
  23. Methuselah
    Precisely, Karl...It's also the point that both Iain Fergusson and Matt & Tony have been highighting??
  24. Methuselah
    That is precisely why I am interested in the far-reaches of the GFS...If the Glosea is right, interesting things ought to be showing in the outer reaches of the GFS? Then again, then GFS might be cr*p?
  25. Methuselah
    Right then, from tomorrow it's winter proper - 90+ days in which we can all whinge about the lack of snow??
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