Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Matthew.

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,259

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Matthew.

  1. Matthew.
    For me not quite a Jan 87’ or Feb 91’ but nonetheless very close and potential is there. Looking better than late March 13’ because much earlier in the season + North Sea at optimum coldness. The downside being the increase in sun strength compared to mid Jan. So temps struggling to freezing whereas Jan 87’ below -5c. The most important question still remains, Will it snow?
  2. Matthew.
    BBC coming on board nicely
  3. Matthew.
    The JMA doesn’t bear thinking about
  4. Matthew.
    Well this would certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons
  5. Matthew.
    If only seasons were seasons. I suppose the first third of March is allowed to be cold but thereafter should hopefully see a change
  6. Matthew.
    Really hoping we can squeeze a March 2003, 2012 out but I can’t see it happening with the colder pattern probably arriving. I suppose you never know though
  7. Matthew.
    The easterly QBO 2014/15 winter had the same airmass dominating. The difference being this time the Atlantic is weaker and more meridional. Certainly a pattern there. Whereas 2013/14 and 15/16, 16/17 westerly QBO winters had a more tropical signature
  8. Matthew.
    My goodness aren't things getting exciting A Ssw to look forward too and the ECM just beginning to really see the way to a proper cold spell. Day 9/10 look very close to what we might expect
  9. Matthew.
    SSW are about as close to a golden ticket as your going get though for certainty of a proper cold spells though. Ones chasing cold and more importantly snow in the last 3rd of Feb have the most reason to do so. ECM later on looks interesting to say the least.
  10. Matthew.
    Think this is talking of the strengthening Azores ridge and stronger to the south. Certainly might not be nonsense. Anyway if the Ssw comes off favourable it would wipe those anomalies out so onwards to the search particularly for the last week of Feb
  11. Matthew.
    Just shows the power of the Ssw doesn’t it. It throws the Atlantic to the side like paper. Remarkable-thanks
  12. Matthew.
    Isn’t there a worry this trough could stall here for a long time as the Atlantic transitions into stall mode. Aka west based NAO. The MJO, GWO, AAM trying to play ball but this trough being an absolute nuisance in the worst possible place. Anyway, enough from me, let’s hope the Ssw is strong enough to get enough momentum going to force the pattern Nw.
  13. Matthew.
    https://earth-planets-space.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/1880-5981-66-94 Just makes me wonder if this is why Jan 1947 turned so cold
  14. Matthew.
    Great post Stodge. I’ve noticed as always we’re looking at 200 miles this way or that way could give us very different outcomes. This expected dive in zonal winds I suppose could force the vortex a little Nw so high p sets up more north of the Uk instead of further south as the Gfs shows
  15. Matthew.
    I’m hoping for March 2012 would be nice to see a bit more snow in Feb though
  16. Matthew.
    March 2012, minor warming, sunny and warm, March 2016, SSW, dull and cool Jan 2013, SSW, March severely cold with snow
  17. Matthew.
    Tensions are rising in the mod thread as the easterly weekend gets underway. One wrong foot from any model and it could be meltdown
  18. Matthew.
    We’re certainly due a cold Feb. Is this the one?
  19. Matthew.
    I don’t know if anyone saw this earlier but the uppers are quite something heading in from the ECM
  20. Matthew.
    Is an easterly coming? With Sydney burying his nuts I might take it more seriously this time
  21. Matthew.
    The thing is if we end up with just a minor warming we could get the polar opposite- March 2012. Interesting to see how it develops
  22. Matthew.
    Much better for the north this year. I’m suspecting next winter will be mild for us all but then some cold winters will appear between 2020-2025
  23. Matthew.
    Obviously a cold March could be still on but is February running away
  24. Matthew.
    There’s no way that Canadian vortex is letting high p in surely. I really hope high p over the Uk saves itself at least till March then get the best of the sun. The thing which would make a difference is a Ssw in my small eyes
  25. Matthew.
    If it wasn’t for the huge purples around Greenland we could be in the money. Longer term this could change though but I’m not so sure
×
×
  • Create New...