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Matthew.

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Everything posted by Matthew.

  1. Matthew.
    looking chilly from Tuesday next week. Not looking forward to it really. Cold but not cold enough for snow. Much prefer mild like this week if it’s not extreme
  2. Matthew.
    Certainly save on the radiators when like this
  3. Matthew.
    Best here since 2012/13 cold season John. Trouble it’s getting rarer as the decades go by which is why some get despondent probably
  4. Matthew.
    Best way to keep it simple thinking. The trouble is with complex thinking how much of it is accurate?
  5. Matthew.
    High pressure must have been drawn to a favourable position for easterly winter periods in that decade. Whereas over the past half century as a whole high pressure to the south of the Uk has become increasingly stronger
  6. Matthew.
    I think the May 2017 NAO was neutral so that’s coincidence
  7. Matthew.
    Just heard from a friend the Sidney’s of Helsinki are seeing something coming afoot
  8. Matthew.
    Quite agree Walsall w s. I’d be surprised if that was it for the 2017/18 cold season. I always include March and April as possibilities too, you just never know. Even if that’s it at least there’s been some
  9. Matthew.
    Agree same here we had 3 days lying snow with -8c minimum since 30th November. I’m enjoying today too lovely and mild and no wind. These swings between cold and mild are great!
  10. Matthew.
    2009
  11. Matthew.
    Cooling is more in ‘moderate’ territory in the eastern side of the ENSO region. I wonder if this could do with toning down to ‘weak’ territory for a colder NW Europe?
  12. Matthew.
    If them charts verify the Lake District, Peak District and NYMoors are in for a treat
  13. Matthew.
    It just goes to show that we don’t need weak to moderate El Niño for cold weather in winter::
  14. Matthew.
    There’s some interesting Synoptics turning up
  15. Matthew.
  16. Matthew.
    A cold December on the way folks 2.9c
  17. Matthew.
    History is against mild outputs for December Knocker. Wait till January when things will possibly flatten out
  18. Matthew.
    What a period that was. By coincidence we started building a wooden sledge around the middle of November that year. What a treat we were in for! I personally class this spell as in the top 10 for weather lifetime events.
  19. Matthew.
    Hi Karlos and Paul. All it is is from previous analogues from years with similar patterns. From this I’ve noticed the higher than normal frequency of the second half of December being colder than average. Therefore there’s a higher chance of snow and frost this December.
  20. Matthew.
    Without clogging the thread up all I’ll say is look out for the 2nd half of December
  21. Matthew.
    Very true but I’d take 1 month like that over 3 of a little below average and no proper snow let’s say.
  22. Matthew.
    December 2010 had a similar level and produced the coldest in over 100 years
  23. Matthew.
    Looking at previous analogues Decembers going to be a cold one folks. As the saying goes ‘June warmth, December snow.’ Whether it’s snowy is a different kettle of fish completely. As for January and February I’m really undecided.
  24. Matthew.
    Not long now to December
  25. Matthew.
    Yes these areas could get a real surprise thinking they're safe
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