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Matthew.

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Everything posted by Matthew.

  1. Matthew.
    There’s a heck of a lot of cold to Nw and Ne on the ECM. We can’t miss out/escape this can we into Feb
  2. Matthew.
    Thank you for all the respectful yet differing viewpoints from Nick F, Steve M, Tamara. Makes for fascinating reading and the difficulties of long range forecasting. I wonder if the Sst anomalies over in the Nw Atlantic are adding to the lows sweeping out of the Canadian side?
  3. Matthew.
    Is everyone ready to chase the potential easterly on the ECM in the morning
  4. Matthew.
    This is it. When ENSO is weak do other drivers take over as it were like the one mentioned above. Solar activity I suppose could play a big role in the vortex strength. Minimum or just after seems a opportune time for this as the winters of 08-13 showed
  5. Matthew.
    A sense of nature seeing something nearby out there. The bird songs certainly giving it away
  6. Matthew.
    If it’s a new trend set in stone spring is the new season of joyfullness when one can look forward to high pressure settling around the British isles with sunshine in abundance.
  7. Matthew.
    Move to the Ne northwest, 8 days lying snow or quadruple that for parts of scotland
  8. Matthew.
    Yes Paul the weekly readings seem to support the idea of ENSO now weakening http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
  9. Matthew.
    I think end of January 2003. About 6 inches in 2 hours
  10. Matthew.
    Here’s why I thought so; highlighted in green
  11. Matthew.
    I’m sure 1995/96 was close to moderate La Niña and that was one of the coldest winters of the 20th century
  12. Matthew.
    That whole weekend was fantastic also friday
  13. Matthew.
    Probably agree there. I remember reading a while back summers have become wetter because of jet stream branching off easier now so can effect the Uks due to the position of Greenland. So winter probably affected with the shifting jet stream patterns too http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2012/08
  14. Matthew.
    I think it maybe to do with pressure to the south of the Uk being stronger in recent winter years maybe because of a warmer world less cold arctic. Just a theory as they all are
  15. Matthew.
    The last 20 years has stood out in the last 350 + years of Central England Tempeature records. Greenhouse effect?
  16. Matthew.
    A disruptive rush hour on its way according to GFS then. If my memory serves me right didnt the same thing happen a few weeks back but a few hours earlier
  17. Matthew.
    Well there’s light at the end of the tunnel it seems
  18. Matthew.
    It can be right though as the October ex hurricane went on to be
  19. Matthew.
    I suppose there’s nothing we can do about it as it’s in the reliable p9 doesn’t look too bad for a weeks time
  20. Matthew.
    Well that wind next week is going to feel cold but still can’t believe it will feel colder than the east wind earlier this week
  21. Matthew.
    Jan 2015 saw similarities to the The runs this morning. After the nw we progressed quickly to a n then heights started to build to the ne. All this was knocked on the head shortly thereafter the the Azores high building to the south. This was the coldest spell of the winter with mean temps around 2c for central areas. Is a similar scenario likely next week but a slower transition?
  22. Matthew.
    Do we enjoy the next 3 days and run for cover? Yesterday was lovely
  23. Matthew.
    I would say rain for the immediate coast but snow inland and at elevation. With temps around 4 max 0 min very interesting for central areas away from the mild sea
  24. Matthew.
    This upcoming WNW cold spell does see a difference to the general 2014/15 winter weather in that the uppers showing on the ECM look to be sustained -5c for many parts and even less for some. On Monday morning the cobwebs will be ready to be blown away
  25. Matthew.
    Scanning the CET years there is a marked difference in the last 20 years of years over the 10c category. Times are changing. Cold and snow will still happen but a rarer occurance
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