Matthew.

Day 10 evolution by the ECM. A provider of hope

Another settled fine day to come tomorrow:

A week without the Jetstream

The horse-chestnut is one of the first to turn but no sign here as yet.

I'd take this anti-cyclone starting Sunday from the ECM anyday over the plume:

I agree, anywhere up to mid-October can be summer like if things fall right. In 2015 April and September into October had great anti-cyclonic spells, much better than Summer itself imo.

I agree with many that July was the best month of 2013, a proper anti-cyclonic spell: 28c+ Sunshine

Yes the GFS once again pushing high pressure over the Uk later next week. Going by the law of averages we will surely see proper anti cyclonic weather soon.

As some have commented a settled, anti-cyclonic summer is what we really are looking for rather than short, hot snaps. We need this cold upper airmass to shift once again, as Nouska greatly illustrated, and bring a return to the likes of more cloudless conditions. We will see a return of this pattern once again I suspect in coming years with normal sunshine returning and how summer should be for a time as the Law of averages dictates. All the variables need to roll 6 together though to get a truly historic summer like that of 95'.

Some lovely summer weather coming from the GFS 0z for Saturday onwards. The Uk has the highest pressure across Europe so sunshine would be optimum with the cell overhead. Very light winds. A plume then on the 15th.

How far is the hot air coming from on that chart? South Africa maybe The contour lines go on forever!

The GFS is staying consistent with the dreamland summer conditions. Let's hope this keeps up for the holidays

Beat me to it PM The 0z GFS has come in storming with the goods! Look at these Thursday onwards:

2014 was a year where virtually all months were above average. However December brought a change to a very different Polar Maritime incursion pattern. A very welcome change as I remember instead of the relentless S'westerlies that year. December recorded its second sunniest since 1929 with 140% of the average for the Uk! Temperatures trended downwards with Polar Maritime incursions bringing the average nearer normal. My favourite month for 2014 Above has been great reading of many other months that I was too young to remember. I wish I had experienced some of them!

Yes, just thinking the same myself. A great Saturday to look forward to

I see where your coming from Frosty but yes definitely more runs needed let's hope for the 0z

Thursday onwards below from the ECM 12z. This is very close to a long awaited settled spell. This could easily turn to something much more settled of course in future runs. Not a bad run in all respect

A Uk centred high would be a real joy..let's hope it comes to fruition we've waited since the beginning of June for this!

I always knew I was risking it booking a holiday in Scotland for August next week but this is outrageous! Opposite to a trip in July 2013. Might need the old log fire on, night times looking around 5c locally. Thanks to all for the advice early though

Would love this in Autumn Even though incredibly strong maybe the cell over the Uk would be better for misty starts.

Chart 1:1 August 1962, Chart 2: 1 August 2016. Certain similarities The surpressed Azores high being the main difference of course.

If that's 1035mb over the Uk there that's only 3mb off the all time record for August

2015 had a blocked period for a month mainly between 20 Sep to 20 Oct. Be interesting to see what this year brings. 1040 for Scandinavia on Chart 2!

Yep agree with the posts above. A continuation of the pattern we've seen, maybe the cyclone becoming more active later on. Nothing significantly above average maybe 1c or so at best, which would be similar to recent months. Maybe October staying warmer because of thermal lag which would be following a trend of recent years(bar 2/3 of last October). A change must eventually come though to a settled period, maybe a blocked winter, who knows

In september the dreaded position of this summers Azores high will weaken and split towards the Uk as the siberian high strengthens through autumn. Hopefully then we may get some settled weather. Too little too late for some i know but still will be very pleasant.