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Everything posted by Matthew.
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes for a pleasant warm spell we need this for August 7/8 instead of the hot/ possibly humid Spanish plume. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great post Tamara looking longer term can't wait till this Azores high weakens after Summer, splits off and hopefully crosses the Uk's region, maybe September onwards as the Siberian High strengthens. -
http://www.itv.com/news/anglia/2015-09-07/why-this-weeks-weather-is-often-the-best-of-the-year/ September weather/Indian Summer/Travelling Anticyclone
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Strange anomaly isnt it. I thinking there must be something in the water but id be surprised if the atmosphere isnt surpressing cyclones onto the Uk more and more in August according to the atmospheric state. -
Yes a bit cooler from today really. Lower 20's with a gradual cool down next week. I like anti cyclonic summers but yes this humid cloudy somewhere in the middle weather is not my cup of tea either.
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Morning Dangerous yes I can't wait for a good anti cyclonic spell. This summer has been poor for sunshine and the general pattern looks continuing the cloudy theme into August. Can't wait for a pattern change with a blocking high. Yes misty starts too
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM 0z wants to bring that suppressed atmosphere upon us, doesn't look as cool for next weekend as it did though. GFS has a peach for the 7th of August for those in hope of a decent August. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The turn of the month could see some low overnight temps. A marked improvement by day though especially with the Azores high potentially moving in In fact going by my simple methods August could well start very well after a poor end to July. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
True.... if this chart were to hold we would all be smiling The signs seem to indicate this would be of short promise though. Maybe looking for an apple when really there's only a banana in terms of the general pattern. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes a very valid point made by the posts above. It may allow a anticyclone to move in. The problem we have is we're in a Nina based atmospheric pattern which looks like pushing the Lows south, squeezing HP out of the equation soon after. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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It seems summer weather can often arrive in September/October. Here's a reminder of last year. Much better than the summer itself.
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ECM 12z for Friday/Saturday next week A 2 day event thankfully before westerlies presume as normal. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For any finding the warm humid/cloudy conditions too much there's good news early next week from the consensus as fresher Atlantic air comes in. In contrast with winter though this doesn't guarantee anywhere near the crisp sunshine one might expect. An Atlantic wind direction is notorious for cloudy conditions, even PM in Summer, as the general pattern shows no signs of change just yet. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12c in NE Scotland I know they're use to cooler temps but thats something else. West pretty cool! Lets hope ECM improves tomorrow for 96. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Looks like some nasty storms for our region this afternoon. Hopefully no flooding, can't think of anything worse!
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Trying to think of ideas to get to sleep tonight maybe sleeping in a cold bath. 25c indoors at 7.30pm is not a good sign.
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Major similarities! Even the moon phase is the same as last year. Day 2 of the Full moon(fullest moon) was 1st July 2015 (hottest day) and 19th July 2016 (predicted hottest day) has the same full moon phase 2(fullest moon). Ive heard rumors that people change when theres a full moon but could the weather also could be a remarkable coincidence of course
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Tarmac set to melt tomorrow and railway lines to buckle. 35c is not out of the question. That's a mere 3c off the record -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
These charts show this is no ordinary spell of warm weather. To say such would be nonsense. Monday, Tuesday, for the east Wednesday all will be welcomed by heat lovers might need the fan for night though -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks for confirming this Knocker I thought so but when objections are raised it can make one wonder if 2+2 does really equal 4. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If there's possibility of the elusive silver crayon that has to be ice cream weather buddy. 32c possible! That's hot! -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The red crayon has no doubt now but there is a small chance of even seeing the silver crayon, if there is such a thing, if temps can reach 33c as shaded over France on Tuesday. Big storms also still on the menu after the heat!