Matty88

Looking at this mornings charts - anyone that says we are in for a milder spell next week should think again, its going to be a cold week - snow or no snow, with 0 Degree Isotherm levels primarily negative. Some charts do point to a slightly milder spell towards Christmas however - either wet mild or a HP (the preferred scenario). Regarding the snow line on Sunday - everyone should know the charts (particularly GFS) generally always struggle to model the displacement of the cold air - as it is hard to shift. My gut feel, is anywhere from a Line from West Suffolk/South Cambs to Herts/Northampton etc will be right on the border line for significant snowfall. This could well be further north, or less likely - could be further south. If you get lucky it will be pay day - 10cm+ of snow which isn't likely to go anywhere fast, coupled with the potential for a further 10cm+ on Monday along with gale force winds. It has the makings of a really iconic snow fall event. Where you are in regards to that boundary though is make or break - a lot of people (including myself!!) should be braced for major disappointment come the end of the day Sunday... when all you see is wet puddles outside. Although there is an extremely low chance of this changing, I can fairly confidently say that it looks as though London/The South East are rain bound for both Sunday & Monday as it stands (but that could come back to bite me!). Best word of advise for our part of the World - expect rain, anything more than that will be a bonus !

There is absolutely no point in anyone in EA/South East getting excited for snow this Thurs/Fri/Sat. The wind direction says it all - North Western fringes and central areas for the Cheshire gap. The most any of us may get is a dusting on Thursday night as a front whizzes through and the odd light flurry. Anyone hoping for a big dump on these days - please share your logic with us all?? As for Sunday onwards - this is what we should be talking about,, significant snow a real possibility particularly north of London. Anything up to 10-15cm is possible at any one time through to mid/late next week. Lets keep watching this.....

According to today's charts- the high is gradually getting nudged eastwards, so it contradicts your scenario. Likely the NW'ly flow will maintain but the high will starve off precipitation. On this basis - this weekend at least looks predominantly dry, cold and sunny for all but windward western/northern coasts. Friday looks best for any showers - but the window for widespread showers is narrow and is getting smaller with every run at the moment. The jury is still open for next week however - especially if a low can mix with a northerly flow. Low to moderate chance of this at the moment.

Very satisfying night in Ely, Cambridgeshire last night - right in the firing zone for streamers off the North Sea last night. Plenty of full on heavy snow, but with no major settling (just sprinkling/residue left on surfaces). Extremely icy everywhere this morning - solid ice and slush on all roads. Crazy but that was better than anything we got last season already !! Keep it coming

GFS seems to be struggling with precip forcasts but I agree tomorrow looks interesting for EA/SE, bound to be reports of snow cover but I have my doubts about anything widespread - it'll be a hit and miss affair. Interesting times though! Make the most of it this week... next weeks charts are looking more and more less snowy with HP close by initially before the transition back to mild westerlies...

Sleety shower here in Longstanton, Cambridgeshire 08:30am... mostly rain with flakes mixed in

The GFS/Other models are so unreliable for anything past 5 days - they really have been terrible particularly recently - I'll wait until the weekend until I make my mind up for what happens next week !! Only 7 days ago there was no cold weather in sight until Mid-Dec. They are utterly useless... people should read them with caution!!

It's the first time in 2 years the GFS has had a consistant couple of runs with a decent cold snap/spell so I'm happy to make the most of it - even if it doesn't come to fruition (accepting this is more than likely!!!).. certainly makes for fun and games. Bracing for the dramatic twist back to mild SW's.... but keeping everything crossed (probably won't be enough !)

The GFS has been all over the shot this last couple of days. Going by previous years - I favour a mild takeover rather than a cold takeover. Then again, if the last few days GFS runs are anything to go by who know's what will be on the horizon !! Not looking good though with high pressure vacating the North Atlantic. Prepare for the worst pps - mild, windy and wet. Then if we do get cold it will be a pleasant surprise!!

Very interesting and exciting scenario for us here in the UK. Yes - probability is it will remain to the west, but without causing any hype there is a low probability it could nudge east and affect the UK as a whole. Low probability granted... but P6 on the ensembles shows this scenerio. So technically a 1/20 chance. I would normally not be too concerned at that but the models have always struggled positioning incoming system from the Bay of Biscay... if it did nudge east then you can't rule out a powerful and destructive storm for the UK. Low chance of this though... I'll listen to all you lot who are much more educated in this than me!!

Doesn't surprise me - it came out of no-where, it's going to be a real treat for anyone in it's path. I had the honour of being right underneath it when it was getting started Could well give some guys some severe weather as it moves east.... particularly hail

Beast of a storm now heading North East away from Cambridge! Very active, will be a hail possibility too for anyone in it's path

Huge storm literally just brewed up around Cambridge - huge bangs and cloud to ground lightning a plenty!!!

It's definitely going to be a day where selective areas are going to get a battering but many guys n girls are going to be very disappointed I think... as with any storm situation. But we'll see. My gut feel is the best place to be for storms today is the South East and EA, according to what the charts and recent developments say

Loving it here at the moment - to the North of Cambridge. Right beside these exploding cells - constant rumbles. Cloud developments are superb!

Strong rumbles in Longstanton, Cambs. Storms now kicking off along the line from here to the East Coast.... very active development going on as I speak

The metoffice one is down too!

All done! I live in Ely, Cambs but work in Longstanton, Nr Cambridge

I'm just west of the main line of storms but getting pelted with sudden downpours of rain and hearing constant rumbles on and off. Definitely the most interesting day of the year so far for me! Looking great for this afternoon.... fingers crossed. As Nick said the set up isn't great for anything too severe (according to the charts) but certainly looking good for some decent thunder and lightning... and flooding rain

I was also thinking what you were thinking... maybe someone can clarify? Interesting activity indeed

Strong rumbles in Longstanton, Cambs. Not far from the very active cells moving through East Anglia. Very angry looking skies too... could be an interesting day. Looking good

Line of storms just passed through Longstanton, near Cambridge. Considering radar signals - not much precip at all just a short sharp burst. A few rumbles of thunder though. Nothing too exciting .... so far. Have low expectations for today once this line passes through and the cooler air comes in behind