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Barmada_Casten

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    North west regional discussion

    in Regional

    Posted

    Just now, Chill Pill said:

    I do feel very sad for you ?

    I know people think I am a troll but I will try and put a photo on showing my depth levels. I am in a part of north Devon that has missed out, and it's the only part of the whole of the south west!

    North west regional discussion

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Barmada_Casten

    Well guys you couldn't make it up. I am in south west England right now, in north Devon. A day of snowstorms was forecasted for today and tonight. They missed my location and I am in the only part of Devon that has no accumulations of snow. to the the south east and west of me there are talks of accumulations of up to 30cm, I genuinely have got a dusting. Snow set to hit tonight looks like it will miss me. Words fail me since there are no words which can describe how sad, lonely and gut-wrenched I feel right now. Starting to wonder if my life is destained to be a total failure.

    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    41 minutes ago, Bring Back1962-63 said:

    Don't worry.  here's an update:

         NW radar - screenshot at 1715                                 Live radar UK                                      Live radar France                                    Infra red satellite                                      Standard satellite

     5a98375164d7a_1715radar.thumb.png.8178d8d1cd1560dbf4aeb82fd5bd3b92.png   lastsnowradar_uk.gif   lastsnowradar.gif  anim_ir_color.gif   anim_ir.gif

    Surely you've got some snow now? Have you looked out of the window :D (sorry - not nice). Now, nobody should be overly concerned (just yet) about the green (wet snow/sleet/rain mix) and the blue (rain) on the NetWeather screen shot. The green is actually showing up over Exmouth now and I can assure you that we're having heavy snow and the temp is sub -4c. What we have is the less cold air (close to 0 c or just above) climbing over the dense cold surface air. Radars peer through these layers and pick up some rain or sleet at a high level and they are pretty inaccurate over sea areas anyway. Even if it is raining up there (which I doubt at this stage), we would either get freezing rain (possibly a dramatic ice storm) which would present some other serious dangers (I've posted about the 48 hour January 1940 event earlier this week on here and at length on the MOD last week which started and ended with a blizzard) it is very likely to turn back to snow again as the heaviest precipitation arrives very soon. Let's put everyone on here who, like me, lives on the south coast, on "freezing rain" watch. If the NW radar does pick up on freezing rain it should show up in a dark purple or mauve colour, The Meteoceil (France) radar shows simple snow or rain colours . Where NW has that green, Meteoceil have red or now white colours which shows very heavy snow. For those further east, see how that area coming out of north France is expanding. The extreme east of Kent, Essex , Suffolk and Norfolk should all be in line soon. Those purple, pink and even the white colours on the infra red satellite are the areas of much thicker cloud and usually contain the much heavier precipitation. When that reaches the Channel it will provide even great instability. Even if the snow turned to freezing rain, it would almost certainly turn back to extremely heavy snow. as it engages our deep cold block. Those darker colours are taking a little longer than expected to arrive - currently around Nantes and through Britanny. Perhaps another hour or so until we see the dramatic expansion of the dark red and white colours on the Meteoceil radar - it's already getting pretty dramatic out there in the Channel.

    UK:              Live temps                                           GIF - last 24 hours                                     Dew Point temps                                   Wind chill temps                                        Wind direction

    temp_uk.png   tempresult_grl2.gif  pointrosee_uk.png  windchill_uk.png  vent_uk.png

    France:         Live temps                                           GIF - last 24 hours                                    Dew Point temps                                    Wind chill temps                                Wind direction & strength

    temp.png   tempresult_eud4.gif  pointrosee.png  windchill.png  vent.png

    The south-west is warming up to -3c :D  When viewing the GIF 24 hour temp changes you need to bear in mind the min/max  range. Less cold air has been making more northward progress this afternoon but there are still some sub zero temps in north-west France. The deep surface cold is still intact there (just) and it is only the warmer Channel (6c to 8c) that moderates that temp. Then in the UK we still have deep surface cold and the upper temps are not as extreme as they were last night.  The winds around Emma are interesting! West in south-west Biscay and southerly in south-west France but easterly further north and across the UK. This means that even on the south coast, the surface air is still being sourced from around Belgium (eastwards) and still mostly coming over land with little moderation from the sea - this should prevent the slightly less cold air moving in until the winds veer to a more southerly quarter. Finally the pressure - our faithful Scandi HP is still there in situ but has declined . it'll be fascinating if it can hold on and forces Emma to stop moving northwards - the ideal scenario will be for Emma to drift east and that will enhance the easterly and ensure that the cold spell is prolonged for those of us that want that. I would love some clear sunny skies after the blizzard but we may still get a thaw and a slushy mess.

    GEFS 12z T+0 1300 Mar 1st 850 Temps                 Live Euro Pressure                        GIF - last 24 hours Euro Pressure    

    gens-0-0-0.png    pression2_eur2.png    tempresult_rhs3.gif

    STOP PRESS: THE MET O HAVE JUST EXTENDED THE AMBER WEATHER WARNING TO AS FAR AS LONDON. WHEN WILL THEY EXTEND THE RED WARNING? SURELY VERY SOON (OVERDUE IMHO).

    Finally, I have near "white out" conditions now. The proper blizzards is well underway. This is the less cold air climbing over our deep surface cold. A classic undercut as in Feb '78.  Enjoy :)  David

    Thank you for your informative post. I have light snow falling again     Which has left a powdering. No accumulations at present.

    North west regional discussion

    in Regional

    Posted

    Perhaps 2cm max here in south lakes as expected. Dry powder snow. Occasional flurries today but nothing significant. Might get a further dusting over the weekend but nothing significant. It appears the rest of the region has fared much better than Cumbria once again but hey ho. Standard.

    North west regional discussion

    in Regional

    Posted

    For the 5th time this winter I woke up to a slight covering that barely covers all surfaces, maybe 0.2cm max. For the 5th time this winter pretty much everyone else, even in 'snowless' places like Preston and Manchester have far better snow depth levels than me. I predicted this, and it is indicitive of the winter so far but it really irks me when everyone else seems to fair so much better unexpectedly than I do. Can't wait for the cold snap to end and hopefully a good spring and summer.

    North west regional discussion

    in Regional

    Posted

    5 hours ago, Geordiesnow said:

    Just been asleep and I just woken up and seen its snowing outside with a light covering! Surely your location got some? 

    Either way, the radar suggests it's northern  parts of the region at the moment that is doing well, wonder if the front end up further North in the end? Either way it shows its never straight forward predicting how things will go.

    Morning mate! We seem to have the most meagre dusting of snow that barely registers on the depth scale. Speaking to colleagues of mine it appears areas around have a lot more, as with every other snowfall this winter. Won't be paying any more attention to this 'cold snap' as this is the best chance we will get. A truely awful, vile and sickening winter, which has failed to produce any more than a dusting of snow I am sick of it already! I looking forward to spring already to be honest fella!

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