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Barmada_Casten

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Everything posted by Barmada_Casten

  1. think think theres more than that... Although i do feel like am at a big house party most people are in another room and I am with like 2/3 people. (That has never happened honest....)
  2. Heavy rain here in south Lakes (Ambleside/Windermere). Not expecting anything nextcouple of days except higher ground. Another non-event for me.
  3. How well I fair here in south Lakes? Amblesdie/Windermere area, we have barely had a mention in this thread! Seems to be dominated by the usual Lancashire bias.
  4. Just thought I'd throw my two penneth in and say I am not expecting any snow in my location south lakes. Expecting a lot of wind and rain though!! Maturity and experience has tought me that 99% of any potential snow forecast results in a major let down.
  5. Thought i'd contribute.... Saw about 2-4cm accumulate this morning through till around lunch which left a glorious scene here in South Lake District. Rain frll sporadically this afternoon leaving some untreated snow cover and the usual slushy mess on used roads and pavements/paths. Without a shadow of a doubt the most snow I have seen since March 2013! Haven't always been in the Lakes since then. Good, short-lived but not amazing but made the most of it anyway.....potential for more next week but won't read too much into it until nearer to the time
  6. Well I am speaking for myself obviously. I haven't seen snow since March 2013!!
  7. Everyone please calm down! This will be just another let down like any other. Keep your heads screwed on - why do you put yourself through this?! The north west of England sits on the receiving end of a mild Atlantic. The vast majority that live here apart from higher ground receive mild wet winters. We are not geared up for major snowfall - it is a rarity. Get a grip!!!!
  8. Exactly! Past experience has taught me this, been here so many times before....really don't know what all the hype is for!
  9. Well I've had downgrades in snow intensity for my location and the heaviest precipitation appears to be Lancashire or greater Manchester. Expecting 2cm max here in south lakes.
  10. Personally living in Cumbria (south lakes) I can tell you we won't. Been here so many times before we will either miss out completely or get a minuscule amount to everyone else. Past experience has taught me to expect to be let down.
  11. That's not the point though, I am experienced in weather watching I have been using this site since 2003, it's the amount of constantblet downs and unlickiness that I experience every winter. It also bothers me when other parts of the region far better than I do time and time again.
  12. My location here in the Lakes not set to get much tonight whilst the rest of the region is set to get a hammering..... same for Sunday also..... sick and tired of constantlyissing out on major snow events.... I well and truly give up now.... I literally feel broken and could literally cry.
  13. Well I never, this only happens EVERY year. Today a disappointment for pretty much everyone. And its looking likely that most of us will miss out on Sundays snowfall. I am not even angry anymore, it should be expected.
  14. It was initially looking like Cumbria and the Lake District was going to get a right pasting but that has def shifted and it looks the bulk of the heavy snowfall will be more to the south of the region and going on experience is probably what will happen. Its not often when these things shift south they regress back north. I can see Cumbria (lower levels) generally either getting (a) nothing or (b) 2 - 4 cm while the rest of the region gets about 10 - 15 cm. I am already getting that sickening feeling as this happens every year to me. Devestated is not the word....
  15. It's looking like my location in Ambleside Cumbria is going to miss out on the bulk of the major snowfall on Sunday which will be more to the south if the region. I can't quite believe this. Plenty of rain today also. Really really p****d off again! The amount of times this has happened to me is unbearable.
  16. I remember my first winter season (03/04) on net-weather and a 'huge beast from the east' was set to bring a winter akin to that of 47 or 63, with sustained major cold and regular significant falls across the country. I fell for it hook, line and sinker......and then some more. To make things worse a couple of days before it was to set in, the the great John Kettley foretasted on BBC weather a series of Polar lows that would have brought blizzards and major snowfall to north west England and my location at the time, Lancaster. It all fell to pieces and nothing came of it. I smashed my sink in anger with a builders mug, it totally ruined my day.I look back now and laugh, but I was young, naive and inexperienced. As i have said it took my a long time to suss things out, which is why I made yesterdays post. I thank everyone for the very positive feedback. Barmada.
  17. @stainesbloke exactly. I now find the ramping on the model forum quite irritating, but thankfully there are some level headed posters on there who keep things realistic. Don't want to mention names but there were a few who made it quite clear that this recent 'beasterly' would be short-lived and deliver little snowfall, and they were correct, credit to them. When I was younger it bothered me I must admit,but I have learned the hard way purely through past experience, I don't feel let down any more because there is nothing to be let down about. I'm not saying it will never snow here in the UK, the potential is always there, but ultimately its more unlikely than likely.
  18. Just want to say a huge thanks and a massive congratulations to those on here who did'nt get carried away with our most recent failed 'beast from the east' which materilised to all but nothing as usual. I first signed up to the forum in 2003 in those following 14 winters (which is a frightening thought!), and in that time I have experienced one 'true' winter 2009-2010 and only a handful of significant snowfall events which have lead to significant accumulations - roughly 4, bearing in mind that during this time I have mostly lived in the north of England. Over the last 14 years of being 'on' net-weather, I just wanted to make a few points to some of the other, younger, maybe more naive members of the forum regarding snow and the UK. The UK may be in northern Europe but we live in a mild, wet, temperate climate. Cold snaps of cold weather with significant snowfalls are not normal they are extremely rare. Model runs are not weather forecasts. I can not stress this enough. Snow is one of the most difficult forms of weather to predict with so many 'knife edge; factors that need to be inline in order for it to occur in our mild, temperate climate. Never trust a snow forecast until minutes before - 'nowcasting' is essential. I would say that 90-95% of predicted snaps of cold weather indicated severe snowfall and these 'beast from the east's never materialise. Periods of long, sustained cold, with consistent heavy snowfall akin to that of northern Finland have occurred twice in 100 years.# If you are looking for snow in the UK then it is best to go to higher ground, where snowfall is far more regular and reliable. If you have any more points you wish to add, feel free too. It has probably taken me this long to realise the above points myself - the days of myself getting worked up about failed over-hyped cold weather scenarios are over. It has taken 4 significant falls in 14 years to make me realise this.... *Note/: Locations lived: Lake District, Lanacaster, Surrey, Netherlands. Barmada Casten
  19. Well winter officially ends for me personally this weekend. I will be moving to Lancaster for one month until mid-March, arguaby the most sorry location for snow in the north west of England. I lived there for 4/5 years and never saw significant snowfall or accumulations....
  20. Precisely CS, We won't benefit from it at all, best place to be will be eastern England, any wintry precipitation will break up and disintegrate once it hits the pennies. Western England is horrendous for snow.
  21. When you have had 3 days of snowfall in 6 years, you kind of give up. I know the next forecaster period of cold weather will bring nothing for me, but plenty for everyone else i am sure.
  22. MY STORY: I have not seen significant snowfall now for 4 years. The last time was a heavy snow event which hit Cumbria in January/February 2013, which I must note melted rather quickly. And even in that event it seemed everyone else around me fared better. The last time I have experienced a significant, long lasting snow event was Winter 2010/2011, which was rather good, but that is some 6 years ago now. Every promise of snowfall I am let down, constantly, even as recent as this month when what should have been 3 days of snowfall to hit the Lakes materialised with a load of drizzle rubbish. I have lived in the south east of England for 2 years and saw no snow, and literally not a flake. Yet every other winter the south-east would get bombarded with snow. I lived in the Netherlands for one winter and saw no snow. With the promise of an upcoming snow event I know what will happen: Everyone will get snow around me except me. It will hit all the places I have lived in the last few years and avoid me. I am sick and tired. Heres my snow record over the last 5 years, it is pathetic: Winter 2011/2012 Cumbria: One afternoon of snow in February which left around around 1 or 2 inches max in Bowness. Winter 2012/2013 Cumbria: One Afternoon of snow in January which left a large accumulation but melted the day after + One day of snow in March which left a significant accumulation but soon disapeared. Winter 2013/2014 Surrey: No snow at all. Winter 2014/2015: Surrey: No snow at all. Winter 2015/2016 Netherlands: One hour of snow which left a 'powdering.' Winter 2016/2017 Cumbria: No snow at all. 5 winters with 2 days of significant snowfall. And so many let-downs.
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