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Sno' problem

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Everything posted by Sno' problem

  1. Sno' problem
    Sill coming down heavily here, a covering over everything and this is in Central London!!
  2. Sno' problem
    Steady snow here, beginning to get a covering after a slow start to things. All looking good for the upcoming hours.
  3. Sno' problem
    After heavy rain for the past hour, the ppn has got lighter, but there is definitely a hint of wintriness about it... A few small flakes mixed in with the rain now.
  4. Sno' problem
    Temp down from 4.7ºc (dp 4.3ºc) half an hour ago, to temperature now of 3.3ºc and dewpoint of 2.3ºc with wet snow.
  5. Sno' problem
    Sleeting in Notting Hill!
  6. Sno' problem
    Radar is showing that some off the ppn could be turning wintry... Is this the first snow of the 2018/19 Winter? Can anyone confirm? EDIT: Forgot to say... Hi all! Hope everyone is well?
  7. Sno' problem
    Yup, it showed on the sferics map, just to the North of you. http://www.lightningmaps.org
  8. Sno' problem
    There are some small storms beginning to build in the Channel SouthEast of the Isle of Wight and more building over the North coast of France... Just a few strikes so far, but a start. http://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=201;o=0;b=0.00;ts=0;z=8;y=50.5097;x=-0.2314;d=8;dl=2;dc=0;
  9. Sno' problem
    There is some shower activity building to the West of London, so hopefully some more showers will start to build further South shortly. (By the way... Good luck with the new job Twiglet!)
  10. Sno' problem
    Inside my flat still 32ºc... 29.5 outside (on an asphalt roof surrounded by buildings) and stifling. We really do need a storm to break this heat a touch.
  11. Sno' problem
    No sign of it here: http://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=201;o=0;b=0.00;ts=0;z=8;y=50.3115;x=-0.8224;d=8;dl=2;dc=0;
  12. Sno' problem
    With an 18 24% chance of snow in Central London apparently!! I can't see it happening for me, but something to look out for if you have just (like me) done some planting of tomatoes etc. outside. Bring on Summer!
  13. Sno' problem
    Hiya all. I really thought we were over this cold weather... Today was glorious in the sunshine and not too bad out of it. I really could't see our region getting too much in the way of wintry ppn, but the latest runs might be showing a late surprise! If there is any chance of any ppn settling, then the temps and rainfall need to be just right for anything of consequence. At the moment it looks like being a daytime event for most in our region so, if we see anything wintry, it is unlikely that anything will settle in my view.
  14. Sno' problem
    Hi all, it does look like one little last hurrah from this brief cold-snap. That blob of ppn heading in over S Essex and Kent is holding intensity, plus looks like it is heavier than any of the ppn I managed to get in my location yesterday. plus, as Steve said, it seems to be back-building slightly. One to watch.
  15. Sno' problem
    I wondered when the MetOffice would finally extend their Amber Warning Eastwards. Not a huge jump, but includes more of those to the West of our region. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?region=se&date=2018-03-02&regionType=area
  16. Sno' problem
    This band of ppn moving up is an unexpected bonus by all accounts. I have been going through different models and none of them seem to have anywhere near the amount of ppn that is currently showing on the radar. It will probably start spreading as it gets closer to our region, but there is a convergence zone where it will hit the Easterly wind currently over us and that is where it could get interesting. I am still waiting to see if the MetOffice upgrade their warnings... If not, then I am mistaken, but the radar shows a very different scene to any of the forecast models. EDIT: That's enough for me, it's been a ridiculously long day. I reckon there will be another few forum members who will wake up surprised in the morning. Night all
  17. Sno' problem
    Aren't you going to help dig out the snowplough driver?!?!
  18. Sno' problem
    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html The storm itself is still out in the Atlantic, but the first of the spiralling fronts are just beginning to hit the South coast of England. Latest radar shows some fairly strong radar echoes in the ppn heading into the SE: EDIT: That ppn is continuing to build fast. None of the forecast models had any moderate ppn reaching the SE during this timeframe did they?
  19. Sno' problem
    It all depends on the track of the low pressure (Storm Emma). If it moves slightly more Eastwards, the SE'ly shouldl invigorate the convection in the North Sea and then enhance the ppn over the SE. It is a case of nowcasting, but compared to the 18z GFS, the ppn has arrived faster and has a more Easterly aspect to it than forecast. It is impossible to nail down, but I do think that the MetOffice will extend their Amber warning very slightly East soon.
  20. Sno' problem
    It has been an excellent show so far here. Places that have remained in the shade have at least 6-7" (15-18cm) of level snow, which is more than I have seen for years here! Meanwhile, the band of ppn moving up from France is beginning to spark ppn in some parts of West Sussex and the Kent/Surrey/East Sussex area, which is enhancing the light ppn that has been lingering over the London area. It now means I have to now stay up for a few more runs to see how it evolves! I already have had some minor drifting here, but where I live is prone to that with an Easterly because I have tall houses to my North so the wind funnels through. EDIT: @Swave Snow it really has got windy in the past few mins. The ppn from France is making headway fast.
  21. Sno' problem
    I think we will get a tad more than a wee top-up.
  22. Sno' problem
    I was trying my best to be unbiased! But the ppn moving up from France seems to have added some intensity to the ppn over London and the Home Counties, where is the convergence zone for this? That could really get hit hard if the energy from the North Sea peps it up.
  23. Sno' problem
    So far, by the way the ppn has travelled so far, it seems to have taken a more Eastward track than forecast at this point, even by Hirlam, so I wouldn't be surprised if the MetOffice move their Amber warning for tomorrow slightly further East to include parts of East Sussex and Surrey, maybe Kent too. Worth keeping a close eye on.
  24. Sno' problem
    I think the next "surprise" is just appearing in Northern France on the latest NW radar:
  25. Sno' problem
    It very much looks like these showers are going to continue for some time. There is a conveyor belt of snow moving in from the ENE. EDIT: I forgot to say, moderate snow here with a brisk wind. Another couple of cm for sure to come. RE-EDIT: HEAVY snow here now, with the wind causing the snow to drift. A nightmare rush hour out there!!
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