Selliso

Not anaprop - strikes showing on blitzortung

All the action is in the UK tonight!

It’s ramped up again in Swindon, frequent lightning. Should be well visible from birdlip area on A417

Just north of Winchester and the sky is flashing like crazy. Time to head west & try to keep ahead of crazy ppn rates! Fantastic viewing!

Swansea strike?

Seeing reports of 36 at Jersey airport for today - breaking their July record, others to follow no doubt... Never considered Jersey as an option for hottest UK location! Would it be included for this competition?

Oops! 38.9 c on Thursday somewhere between Canterbury and Sevenoaks

Best guesses for the week! 33.6 on Tuesday somewhere between Oxford and Heathrow 34.8 on Wednesday somewhere between Cambridge & Ipswich 38.9 c on Thursday somewhere between Canterbury and Sevenoaks 30.5 on Friday somewhere in East Anglia

Oh please, at least say pomme de terre

https://www.viewsurf.com/univers/surf/vue/13586-france-haute-normandie-sainte-adresse-live moving out to sea across the bay, frequent lightning on horizon

Punchy little radar return near Hay-on-Wye just popped up

Cloud has broken & sun is out in Swindon. It feels hot and muggy.

Perhaps more forming around Denbigh / Corwen & heading your way?

Thanks - what a plonker... It seems I migrated to the southern hemisphere for a moment...

Not showing on Blitzortung http://en.blitzortung.org/live_lightning_maps.php?map=12

Yes... Cyclone - Clockwise Anticyclone - Anticlockwise

I use this for tracking strikes: http://en.blitzortung.org/live_lightning_maps.php?map=12

Flirting with some of the lowest pressure recorded in the UK... Hurricane Katrina made landfall with a central pressure of 920mb - as I am reliably informed by Wikipedia.

Can we really say that there was no response? (not meaning this antagonistically, btw - just interested in the point some have raised on the "failed SSW") My very limited understanding is that there absolutely was a response in the troposphere, and we saw the PV split into three distinct lobes. We've simply been very unlucky again with how the lobes positioned themselves - one of them over Canada and northern USA and never retrogressing. The Jet was therefore well supported with very large gradients over the northeastern USA. In that set up, everything was stacked against us to promote a cold easterly or northerly scenario. But saying that, that winter was hardly Atlantic-driven, just HLB in our locale was not forthcoming. So my summary is that we have had a somewhat more blocked winter, strongly supported (globally) by a major SSW, but Blighty just wasn't in the right spot for cold again this time. Happy to be corrected on any or all of this - as I'm confused by the failed SSW response point.

I used to live in Egerton, not far from you and similar altitide (about 225m asl) - the issue I always found was too much modification from the Irish Sea. Just a few more miles to the east, say Haslingden, and the snow could be falling while Egerton had cold rain!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaos_theory

There was a wintry mix above 200m in North Wales this morning, definitely something whiter on the mountains above a guesstimate of 350-400m.

May the gradients be ever in your favour.

"The Great Snow of 2019" Many a tale will be told!

Eventually, but MetO have extended heavy snow forecast for Swindon by two hours (was ending 2pm, now 4pm...) Picking up on the point that HIRLAM was a little too far east with the ppn, prob why earlier MetO Amber blob was east of us