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ICE COLD

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Everything posted by ICE COLD

  1. AND !!!! We’re off . The Met update mentions winds from the east , the gfs says ok here we go
  2. well there’s the signs of blocking in the latest GFS 6z run . Just all in the wrong places on this run .
  3. Interesting split pv again on the gfs at day 10 . Hopefully the next chase is not to far away
  4. Well I can officially declare the 6/7 week chase for for a cold snowy January over . We’ve got 5 or 6 days of cold weather to look forward too . Feel slightly deflated by this end result but it is what it is . Hopefully a few surprises for as many as possible with snow . Good luck to those who are forecast snow . Now a few days off from chasing until the models show their next hand lol . Great chasing with you lot , shame it wasn’t the widespread snow we all crave (but that could change ) .
  5. Pretty much now what the Met think will happen during next weekend it’s what happens following this milder blip that interests me still looking good after that on the update .
  6. Again an upgrade on the ECM T72 compared with T96 on last night’s 12z . Better heights into greeny
  7. A closer look at the UKMO 12z and as feared it’s an absolute ripper . Come on ECM 12z follow that . I do like the gfs tho regarding the snow lol 17cm IMBY but I’d rather have UKMO verify and sacrifice the gfs
  8. Comparing with yesterdays gfs 12z to todays 12z . Heights a lot better into Greenland.
  9. Not had chance to read through the forum. I looked at the models this morning in the order of - The GEM - Rubbish The GFS op - Rubbish The GEFS - not to bad UKMO- not to bad The ECM - lol what a excellent run ECM mean/eps - upgrade us coldies have been dragged through the mill this winter . The NWP modeling has been abysmal from the strat to this to that . Anyone who says it’s not a stress ? well I’m pulling my hair out . Please please be right ECM .
  10. The control is the way forward cold to very cold from day 120 until T276 so far . Great run that .
  11. Great snow event but at day 9 it looks like the ECM at day 9 and not in a good way .
  12. Thanks. that is strange the graph I posted doesn’t seem to include all of the spread of the ens . Hopefully the EC op follows the cold cluster on the 00z .
  13. Sorry guys don’t no if I been clear I’m talking about longevity. Somewhere will probably get a dumping but it’s after that the mean rises . That’s my concern with the EC op and now the mean . I don’t wanna be a miserable sod it’s just the way I see it . Really really hope the gem has got this . It’s the best run of the evening by far .
  14. @Met4Cast now you cant tell me the ECM mean is not a downgrade and the trend to around average 850s or slightly above is clear to see . I’m pretty sure we’ve not been chasing the last 6 weeks to have a 2 day tepid northerly. It’s poor set this evening. These are for London so probably better the further north u head . The only positive is these where poor a few days back and then flipped to a better outcome but now we’ve gone the other way .
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