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Everything posted by Rayth
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Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Rayth replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well , as winter approaches , we are now at the 'absolutely bizzare' posting on the model thread stage -
model discussion Model output discussion - closing in on Winter
Rayth replied to tight isobar's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Are going to get a slicing high through northern Canada ala GFS i wonder -
Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Rayth replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hilarious -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Normally head to the ensembles for clarity , but the EPS and GEFS are flipping from one run to the next -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Rayth replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A split in the middle to lower strat is forecast tomorrow , will be interesting to see how this now plays out with the models in the coming days -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Rayth replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
Rayth replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
900 times a day he mentions a west based -nao -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Rayth replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How can a week of below average temperature be described as ‘cool’ in winter ? That’s a contradiction in itself ? Curious anomaly on this forum , people with snow in the username seem to want anything but -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Rayth replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It was the night before Christmas and the strat was beginning to stir, While the cold was incoming where is Steve Murr? Will it or won’t it , a split or displacement, Let’s hope it results in two foot on the pavement Catacol called it , Crewe said we couldn’t avoid it, Let’s hope it doesn’t go down the damn toilet. A very strange year , could end with a grin from ear to ear, Let’s hope the GFS isn’t hammering the Beer. The first week of Jan , Chino could be in his element The weather gods eying an historical development From Sussex short-waves , to marginal uppers, Santa is downing his multitude of suppers We are all in the same game , no matter the username, These model runs are so difficult to tame. We wish for hot we wish for cold, But the chase from year to year will never get old. We salute the regular posters , too many to mention, For giving us such fun , and 00z runs full of tension. We welcome new members , in this strangest of December’s. Spare a thought for the gone , many of us have at least one Onwards we go, Snow Angels in Snow. It’s time for me to go, Let’s hope this post avoids the mods saying no! Merry Christmas to everyone , have a safe festive period and thanks to everyone for their input this year -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Rayth replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is an intriguing question .... But I also have one of my own , are we seeing these eye candy trop scenarios because the GFS is seeing a SSW ? I shall pass that onto Crewe and Scott , the more experienced and knowledgeable -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Basically the 00z has finally had enough of being called the ‘downgrade run’ and has spat out a historical masterpiece ! Fully enjoyable run what happened out west certainly was the best this morning -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Could do with a Genoa low at the same time -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Does anyone know what happened to Bring Back 1962/63 ? -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not a bad perch to be sitting on , in only the second day of meteorological winter eh crewe -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The 1% battery life he has had on his phone the last two years has finally ran out