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Everything posted by Rayth
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The clue lies within the thread name -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Make up your mind mate , easterlies for the foreseeable or Atlantic break down? you’re like the human version of the CFS with these swings -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly , at this stage of November we are in a position to talk ‘downgrades’ with potential cold output Usually we are picking the crumbs off the floor from the upgrade table ! -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If the models keep going which such signals then I’ll have to bring back @Bring Back1962-63 , to give us some tips on how to survive such a winter akin to his profile name -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anything that dares to rear it’s head in the Atlantic is being sheared and cannibalized ! -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s just filling it’s underwear and trying to go back to climatology -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Destination splitting the flow -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And after numerous attempts at breaking the door down at the front , we are about to have an attempted burglary from the back @ 300hrs -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Im sure @bluearmy mentioned similar a few weeks back , big structure build on dodgey foundation good to see you back @Glacier Point parallel with the National Hunt season starting -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is there an archived thread with the lead up to December 2010? , would be good for an educational purpose and to pretend I was here at the time -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No model is showing a sustained level of consistency past 6/7 days either -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Didn’t the GFS spot the last one at 300+ hrs ? -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Didn’t we have this during summer , where there was a forecast breakdown and the models were actually under estimating any block to the east ! -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ecm @ 192hrs has very cold air fondling the shetlands ! -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Least it is happening, and we aren’t aboard a zonal train to misery ! Good idea for a thread this , we didn’t have a long hunt -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You can have fun trying to light one in four inches of snow -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You won’t be when we are all booking trips to come stay with you due to the mild mush ! I jest ! Fingers crossed for a real winter season ! -
Deep Purples = Rampant Polar Vortex ?
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I think it’s showing a warming in the stratosphere, but @Recretos will put me right
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018
Rayth replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As we change our clocks , we change our seasons -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018
Rayth replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At one point the control and operational are that far apart they might as well be from different continents (problems attaching picture) -
Absolutely fascinating read @Roger J Smith , hopefully other members get to have a read as it was thread I didn’t know existed and only became aware of through twitter ! Full marks for putting an ‘against the usual grain’ forecast out there