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Rayth

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Everything posted by Rayth

  1. Rayth
    ***** warning ***** warning ***** given current model output this app may implode next week
  2. Rayth
    Think our PM discussion may well have jinxed the festival @Glacier Point Problematic if you’re anywhere near right !
  3. Rayth
    This place is worse than a catwalk in Milan for trends ! Yesterday the TREND was the cold pool was heading south to Tunisia , today’s TREND is Europe is going into the tropics at day 10 meanwhile the real trend is a cold lovers paradise ! I despair at times I really do !
  4. Rayth
    Is this a climatology bias thing ? Always seems to want to go back to type Given @Bring Back1962-63 Stellar post last night I can hear him sharpening the blade to carve the GFS up again !
  5. Rayth
    I was hoping you could tell me Nick ! Maybe telling us to go back to sleep
  6. Rayth
    Yep ! Just hope the attention seeking ECM carries this on , I’m semi-confident given it’s clusters last night ?
  7. Rayth
    I’m scared to trawl through all the catastrophe posts that came out after ‘that 12z GFS episode’earlier , but did anyone comment on Dr Ventrice’s tweet about the NAO going record breakingly negative ? The record being ( for the time of year) ... (-2.77sigma) models projecting (-3sigma) , guess my question is ... could this be playing havoc with output also ?
  8. Rayth
    Svalbard has looked different to me this run ?
  9. Rayth
    Shame the mods have had to remove so many of the clairvoyant’s posts today ! We could have compared them to the harsh reality next week anyway , this ecm run looks 12 hours ahead to me ? sorry just trying to lighten the mood after 2 hours of carnage!
  10. Rayth
    I’m struck by how many people on here are clairvoyant , their powers seem to increase after the T144 hour mark !
  11. Rayth
    I totally agree with this , ironic it’s just changed before next week ! When they met office will show why they are World leaders , instead the bbc have changed from using a multi million pound super computer to using ...
  12. Rayth
    What’s the 22.8 ? Feet ?
  13. Rayth
    What if it’s the opposite and being under modelled ?
  14. Rayth
    Has there been a comparable pattern like this current one where the output has just evaporated in the past ? Was ‘that ecm’ after a SSW ?
  15. Rayth
    This 6z is developing a bigger cold pool beast to tap into
  16. Rayth
    I don’t know what to say my bearded friend
  17. Rayth
    That’s brilliant , wonder if the more knowledgeable peeps on here would dare do a crayon job and draw a cold cone for possible projection
  18. Rayth
    I’d love to know how these major cold spells were modeled , I mean was the signal that strong there were only minor ‘wobbles’ , how did 2010 go ? Drama or just solid with upgrades ? From what I read the met seen 2010 far out ?
  19. Rayth
    I’m in the blue zone so it was nice knowing you guys/ girls
  20. Rayth
    Everyone who said it’s a shame this wasn’t two / three weeks earlier is dead right I mean we could have held the Winter Olympics
  21. Rayth
    The 18z GFS infamous ‘ pub run’ usually comes up with a eye opener ! What on earth could it come up with tonight short of moving a tectonic plate and just positioning us within the arctic circle ️ ! Can’t wait to see !
  22. Rayth
    What would the 264 ecm chart look like nick ? Apparently at 240 the easterly is being cut off by the Greenland high ?
  23. Rayth
    My word @carinthian any chance of finding tomorrow euro millions numbers too ??
  24. Rayth
    Think @bluearmy is just being real here ! And as a clearly experienced poster has seen things go awry and seen ones verify ! Been bitten before perhaps , let’s hope he’s bitten again , by frostbite this time ?
  25. Rayth
    Hi @carinthian firstly I immensely enjoy your posts and pictures ! Now for a novicey question , your senior forecasters think the ecm may be on the wrong track ? Im intruiged to know the ‘why’ ( curious mind)
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