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CameronWS

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Everything posted by CameronWS

  1. Out of interest which one of those events does this set up look more similar to?
  2. If only it was about about 3 miles west we would be in the warning Still in fairly content if it’s a streamer they’re going for. I’m not sure the weather companies are aware quite how much snow made it through here in 2018! 10-15 cm at sea level minimum. What is different this time around that suggests less intense showers? Honestly don’t think I’m being unreasonable to ask for 1 cm lying on the ground
  3. Would we be more likely to see upgrades or downgrades from here? Looking forward to this, good luck to everyone! Despite being in Scotland I haven’t had a single cm lying here since Feb/March 2018 so pretty hopeful
  4. I know it’s uncertain but do you think there’s a chance of a decent Forth-Clyde streamer? Yet to see a single bit of snow lying yet so this is the best chance! Hoping everyone enjoys the upcoming spell!
  5. Is that precip coming in from the east coast here showers or an organised band? Just wondering because we’d definitely rather showers for the streamer potential in the west
  6. Thoughts on chances for low ground near us? I was hopeful because of the stalling nature to the front
  7. I know it’s a while off but what do you make of the potential for next Tuesday?
  8. So the models mainly bring in the cold quite a lot earlier than the Met suggest. Anyone expect either a backdown/slowdown from the models today or a change in the Met’s long-term forecast at 4?
  9. Exact same here in Helensburgh. Had a dusting while I was sleeping last night but nothing today. Really annoying seeing precip die just before getting here - especially given the rarity of the sea level snow parameters being in our favour
  10. I live in the west and each run currently shows significant snow for Thursday in my location but the Met don’t seem to be buying it at all. Are they expecting the runs to trend SE with time or do they think the precipitation will simply just not reach as far as the models suggest? Particularly interested in this event because normally Battleground events here come from the west and given my near coastal location that means nearly always rain.
  11. I don’t know a lot but from what I can remember, I think the angle of attack is crucial for a streamer. That was a fairly flat easterly while the most likely route at the moment looks to be a North Easterly. Anyone please correct me if wrong. That was amazing though. I live very near the west coast and the streamer came down the clyde and combined with showers also making through from slightly further North. Got 10-15 cm’s plus drifts and got experience temporary blizzard like conditions during the most intense showers.
  12. Something that frustrates me is when people make generalised comments which are only true for a certain area. 12z run looks way colder for most of Scotland with greater chance of snow.
  13. Some runs yesterday showed the coldest air from the North coming down and missing to the east. Would this potentially be a good/safe thing with a SSW on the way as it decreases the chances of a West-based Nao? Also, would a West-based Nao affect the potential impacts of the SSW? Apologies if this is all wrong, just trying to learn a bit here as a rookie!
  14. What do you think the Snow level, in terms of metres asl, would be around your area if all these factors were as show here?
  15. Surely you’d expect the west coast to be more marginal than BBC are showing?
  16. As someone with no experience at model watching I enjoy looking the netweather forums to see how the prospects of cold are developing. However, something that is really annoying me and confusing me is when such strong statements with the exact opposite meaning are put side by side. For example, all day long people have been saying the charts are showing upgrades but then somebody comes out and says that the runs are constantly getting more mild. Just thought I’d post this because it does confuse the hell out of me.
  17. Slightly confused by this approaching system because all the models look pretty bad for my area, west of Scotland, but the met office are only predicting 44 mph gusts.
  18. Surely the Met Office forecast is wrong. Going against every other weather service and predicting light sleety drizzle in spells while the radar show a massive band of snow heading towards my location.
  19. How come this show lots of snowfall in Scotland when we’ve only been forecast the odd shower? Is there a chance that the Forcasts are well off the mark?
  20. Reckon if this Easterly comes off next week there will be similar streamer potential to last time?
  21. About 7 miles Noryh West of Dumbarton and its very bad. Everything going through Stirling has hit us plus a good chunk of the Streamer has banded with it just before reaching us. At full pelt the intensity of these showers/mini bands really is impressive
  22. Been horrendous/brilliant here tonight. A good 10 cm minimum and the road up to the Naval Base loooks to be getting near being cut off. Could be major issues in the morning if people have to get there.
  23. Here, not far from the west coast we were told by the BBC (I didn’t listen to it btw) to expect 1 or 2 showers during the day but mainly dry. It was partly right in that we have had about 4 showers max today although it a shame that the current shower started over 2 hours ago?
  24. Good Luck to everyone today. I am doing well in the west so far with a dusting at the moment and showers are now getting blowen in here more frequently without fading away.
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