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Everything posted by Joe Snow
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Would love to be surprised but yeah during the day like today we'll probably see snow falling, it being heavy at times but just not sticking. It'll be the sink south of colder air and a pep up in intensity late night Thurs overnight into early hrs Friday that might give us a covering due to it coming overnight.
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Latest 18zGFS (the GFS to be fair was accurate in spotting the snow pushing further north today) would give even S Cheshire 5-10cm of snow when all said and done with a snow-sleet-snow setup tomorrow into Friday. We shall see. We will need intense precipitation during the day for it to properly settle at this low level though so best chance of accumalating snow looks to be as colder air sinks south again early hrs Friday.
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Big question is whether we go Amber today as it starts of a chain of preparations by local councils, impacts & informs on school closures (more likely Friday) etc... I do not envy the MO though as it’s a boom or relative bust for lower levels where anywhere between a slight 1-3cm covering to 15cm & major disruption could occur. Peaks & Pennines most likely to go Amber for sure.
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Yeah fingers crossed we aren't March 2013 was frustrating beyond belief but that was a SE wind vs a E wind from memory? @Kasim Awan did say S Cheshire was just out the Manchester shield zone in a previous post so hopefully we pick up something between 2-15cm, in all honesty a 5cm covering to end the season on a high would do me
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Yeah a chance of some light snow in the south of the region before hopefully Thursdays main ‘event’ would be brilliant. Thursday is reminding me in a weird way of the snow post Storm (Christoph?) in Jan 2021 where sleety rain turned quickly to heavy wet snow huge flakes and we had locally 6-8cm of wet sticky snow put down in a short space of time (pics are of the Crewe bypass, Crewe Station & my back yard under snow ) but that sadly quickly melted the next day. Could hopefully be the heaviest snowfall locally since then but keeping feet firmly on the ground for now
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It’s like a Southern boys club it’s terrible at times like these & not welcoming or easy for any newbies trying to follow or get involved - they should stick to the regionals for IMBY chat - living in London at the time of the BFTE I remember the SE thread was buzzing. Think some of them are getting a bit carried away this evening.
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It could do - MCR City Centre and S MCR suburbs aren't snowy locations but places with elevation like Oldham to it's East and Tameside are. MCR City Centre, S Manchester & NE Cheshire tends to do well in a Dec 2009 & 5th Jan 2010 setup that buried much of Manchester, Stockport etc... in a ft of snow where here in S Cheshire we got roughly only 5-10cm of snow it's swings and roundabouts and the NW is a strange place when it comes to snow when you compare it to other regions.
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18z turns into a potentially very snowy run for N England the NW included with even the south of the region staying on the cold side of the battleground. Still could be too far north for the main action though so watch Wales & the Midlands get pasted now! Lots to keep an eye on as snow chances have dramatically improved the last 24 hrs still nothing guaranteed with it being virtually impossible to accurately forecast even a few hrs ahead this week.