Joe Snow

Light-moderate non sticking wet snow/ snizzle mid morning to about half an hour ago - a major bust for the MO who had the NW down as dry. Tomorrow will be a messy wintry mix for low levels during the day but hopefully some accumulation Thurs night info Friday.

Big question is whether we go Amber today as it starts of a chain of preparations by local councils, impacts & informs on school closures (more likely Friday) etc... I do not envy the MO though as it’s a boom or relative bust for lower levels where anywhere between a slight 1-3cm covering to 15cm & major disruption could occur. Peaks & Pennines most likely to go Amber for sure.

Yeah fingers crossed we aren't March 2013 was frustrating beyond belief but that was a SE wind vs a E wind from memory? @Kasim Awan did say S Cheshire was just out the Manchester shield zone in a previous post so hopefully we pick up something between 2-15cm, in all honesty a 5cm covering to end the season on a high would do me

Tomorrow’s front? Yeah a chance of some snow later on is possible reaching this far north. Thursday could be great or messy we’ll have to see. I’m going for anywhere between 2-10cm here but ofc would love to see more!

Yes he would!!!!

Our MOD thread friend from Leicester thinks the GFS is ‘wrong’ and too far north and will ‘correct itself’ by morning hmm it’s going to be a long few days lol!

Might be jumping the gun here but warnings wise think we'll see an upgrade to Amber for higher ground at least tomorrow but there's so much still to be resolved it's a highly tricky call.

The Wirral, Liverpool & west coast had rotten luck that lockdown Winter 20/21 as locally we had a few snow events late Dec- mid Jan that were very marginal but we fell just on the right side of it. Fingers crossed for better luck Thursday!

Yeah a chance of some light snow in the south of the region before hopefully Thursdays main ‘event’ would be brilliant. Thursday is reminding me in a weird way of the snow post Storm (Christoph?) in Jan 2021 where sleety rain turned quickly to heavy wet snow huge flakes and we had locally 6-8cm of wet sticky snow put down in a short space of time (pics are of the Crewe bypass, Crewe Station & my back yard under snow ) but that sadly quickly melted the next day. Could hopefully be the heaviest snowfall locally since then but keeping feet firmly on the ground for now

It’s like a Southern boys club it’s terrible at times like these & not welcoming or easy for any newbies trying to follow or get involved - they should stick to the regionals for IMBY chat - living in London at the time of the BFTE I remember the SE thread was buzzing. Think some of them are getting a bit carried away this evening.

Yep never simple - annoying that the BBC use the raw ECM graphics too. Snow seems delayed but does reach the majority of the region overnight Thurs into Friday. If in reality it ends up burying the Midlands I’m going to not be happy though lol!

It could do - MCR City Centre and S MCR suburbs aren't snowy locations but places with elevation like Oldham to it's East and Tameside are. MCR City Centre, S Manchester & NE Cheshire tends to do well in a Dec 2009 & 5th Jan 2010 setup that buried much of Manchester, Stockport etc... in a ft of snow where here in S Cheshire we got roughly only 5-10cm of snow it's swings and roundabouts and the NW is a strange place when it comes to snow when you compare it to other regions.

It's the SE rain shadow that plagued the cold January-March of 2013. 18th Jan 2013 saw several cm's of snow here but nothing more than a dusting for Stockport thanks to the snow shadow and a SE wind. NE Cheshire into Gtr MCR sees this shadow effect most.

Feet firmly on ground as when it comes to snow and NW England something is bound to go wrong! Snow shadow effect over Gtr MCR and East Cheshire does concern me slightly too but I think many of us will see snow, some of us a lot of it as it stands.

GFS a wintry mix, ECM looks great, BBC & MO forecasts look promising but realist hat on for now!

It’ll be a snow-rain-sleet/ wet snow again type of setup for us currently. Hopefully a nudge south to get us all properly in the game.

A period of sleet/ snow on Thurs still on the 12z but transient the further south you are as a more rounded low drags up milder air quicker. Just one of many variations. Pennines probably will be hit hard.

Potential of a Red Heavy Snow warning on the MO warning matrix too although think that will be reserved for higher ground further north and into Scotland where the snow could be piling up by the end of the week as things stand currently. Lots to keep an eye on.

As others have mentioned MO Early Warning now out for disruptive snow Thurs/ Fri. 5-10cm forecast potentially although think it’ll be a messy affair for the south & coastal parts of the region as the snow line shifts northwards.

18z turns into a potentially very snowy run for N England the NW included with even the south of the region staying on the cold side of the battleground. Still could be too far north for the main action though so watch Wales & the Midlands get pasted now! Lots to keep an eye on as snow chances have dramatically improved the last 24 hrs still nothing guaranteed with it being virtually impossible to accurately forecast even a few hrs ahead this week.

Interest beginning to tentatively build up again this evening - chance of sleet/ snow Tues AM & a snow-rain event Thurs night into Friday. A battleground scenario interesting to watch but nothing guaranteed yet.

Yep a good local event for S Cheshire don’t think we’ll see much of note this week though all looks watered down as per

Yeah think the 18th Jan 2013 event was one like that - good for the Midlands & Wales - Crewe through to Merseyside saw a few cm from its northern edge but it cruelly ground to a halt just south of Manchester from memory anywhere north of Stockport had just a bit of light snow in the breeze thanks to the rain/snow shadow.

Hopefully most of us will see some falling flakes at some point next week but it might be a case of frustratingly watching the heavier snow showers to our north & NE and any heavier bands of sleet/ snow to our S/ SW.

It’s the UK so that’s what will happen then! ️ Why can’t it ever be simple