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Earthshine

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    Spring 2019 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    33 minutes ago, coldie said:

    That sounds perfect slimshady, after the hot summer we had last year I can't see us getting 2 hot summers in a row i'm expecting an average summer this year.

    How on earth is a cold and wet summer perfect? Do you hate the beach, BBQs and just cracking open a cold one with mates on a warm summer evening?

    Spring 2019 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

    For my location warm spring and cool summer are often full of big T-storms..2010 here was a classic example of stormy summer

    Is any link between SSW that cause blocking later in the winter and warm summers?  I know both 2013 and 2018 had cold, blocked March's and ended up with very warm July's.

    Model output discussion - 7th January onwards

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

    I'm liking the look of that (sub -20C) cold pool developing over Scandi; though, as others have already pointed-out, it's likely to verify quite like that:

    image.thumb.png.ee6902319676578dfc82d6311940dfe6.pngimage.thumb.png.ac8584beef8a031abf2ea26cf2d79261.png 

    It does look promising, though! Would a link-up north of Scotland be too much to ask for?:cold:

    Not liking the look of that mid-latitude high pressure system in the Atlantic.  Looks like it might just follow the zonal flow and be a toppler

    Winter weather chat, moans, banter and ramps

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    This is always the slowest part of the year for me.  Long, cold nights and dark days really sap the energy out of me.  Invested in one of those daylight lamps that simulates sunrise in the morning but nothing beats an actual sunny morning.  I'm hoping this year brings plenty of warm, calm and sunny mornings.  Absolutely love sitting outside with a morning coffee just listening to the birdsong, absolute bliss...

    • Like 2

    Overview of 2018 - thoughts and summaries

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    January:  Nothing comes to memory really, mostly mild and rainy.

    February:  Began mostly mild but temperatures dropped rapidly towards the end of the month, recording a high of only 0.5C on the 28th.

    March: Began exceptionally cold with an incredible high of only -2.1C on the 1st.  A monthly low of -4.8C was recorded here which was the coldest temperatures of the winter.  7-foot snow drifts as a consequence of Emma made numerous roads impassable and with windchills approaching -14C in the strong winds it felt extremely cold.  My nearest weather station in St. Athan recorded 50cm of level snow.  By mid-month it turned mild for a time, recording a high of 13.9C on the 16th before temperatures plummeted again, recording a high of only 0.7C on the 18th with heavy snow.

    April: Mostly unexceptional, recorded a high of 22.4C on the 18th but was otherwise just an average month.

    May: A very sunny, dry and pleasant month, recording a high of 26.9C on the 7th.  Daytime temperatures generally around 20C.

    June: A warm and sunny month overall, became hot towards the end of the month with a high of 30.3C recorded on the 26th.

    July: Was away on holiday until the 12th and returned to hot weather with daytime temperatures generally above 25C, with a high of 29.0C on the 26th.

    August: After a hot start with 30.1C recorded on the 5th the weather turned gradually cooler and August came out to be a wetter and cooler month overall.

    September: A mix really, some warm and sunny days and at times rainy and cool.

    October:  An average month with some notably cold nights towards the end of the month.  In fact, the -3.0C recorded on the 31st has been the colder than any temperature so far this winter.

    November: Dry and cool mid-month, otherwise nothing to write home about.

    December: Yawn.  What a dreary way to end an exceptional year.

    December 2018 CET forecasts and EWP contest -- start of 2018-19 competitions

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Relativistic said:

    I think there's reason to believe that it could be a while. The only other comparable month (in terms of head-and-shoulders-above-the-rest warmth) is May 1833, and that's not far off its bicentenary. Nothing, not even in the AGW era, has come close to it!

    Unless we get runaway global warming then I suspect the December 2015 event will remain a "once in a few hundred years" phenomenon.

    True, it's impossible to say the warmth in December 2015 was a direct consequence of AGW.  However, I do believe mild winter weather will become more common over the next hundred years.  BTW I take it you're a fan of Physics by your username?  I love Physics and currently an undergrad at Exeter

    December 2018 CET forecasts and EWP contest -- start of 2018-19 competitions

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    34 minutes ago, Don said:

    No way will I ever be a mildie!  If I have to take winter holidays to colder climes to beat global warming, that's what I will do!

    EDIT:  And that could be pretty soon, too!

    I must be an infamous mildie haha!  Although if it's cold it's gotta to be proper cold for me with snow.  Otherwise just give me some sunshine and warmth none of this dreary weather we're having.

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