Windysun1
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Is a third warming not forecast?- 1,801 replies
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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
Windysun1 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
These comments from Roger are worth noting. Excellent. -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hi Squeakheart, you do excellant research and love your posts. You say its a big step forward that there is going to be a warming. I have no doubt you are right, but how potentially how does this effect the uk? Does it all depend on where the PV ends up or chunks of the pv ending up if it gets split up?- 1,801 replies
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hi squeakheart, Thanks for the updates. But what does this actually mean as regards weather effecting the UK down the tracks. A lengthened continuation of weather coming from an eastely direction, which you would imagine would be colder than average?- 1,801 replies
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Windysun1 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
1947 i believe -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Windysun1 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How accurate are the forecasts for predicting where the PV chucks drop? -
Significant in what sense Griff? Probably struggling with it himself
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Sorry got it wrong. It is eastern states.
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JUDAH Cohan twitter"Clearly the GFS reads the AO blog because latest GFS is predicting, exactly two weeks after a major #polarvortex disruption, an amplified western ridge/eastern trough with a sharp turn to colder & snowier weather in Eastern US. Models struggle post PV disruption so far from given" This confuses me as i thought it was predicting western states cold, Eastern not as cold. Euro/Asia cold?
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AO Blog Update | AER | Weather Risk Assessment WWW.AER.COM December 28, 2020 - Dr. Judah Cohen from Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) embarked on an experimental process of regular research, review, and analysis of the...
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Only post the good ones from now on
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Windysun1 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Two foot! A metre at least! With massive drifts. That would keep us all at home... We can dream. Bricriu you are right of course but i feel things will align for us this time. This delay in cold advancing might be to our advantage in cooling the cold pool further, and when the dam breaks that cold pool will flood right through -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Windysun1 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Everything except cold -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Windysun1 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think we will be seeing these colder type charts closer than 2 weeks off tomorrow. Possibly as 7 to 8 days. -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cheers BGS- 1,801 replies
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
So if say the SSW kicks in tomorrow or tuesday. Will its effect be a week to 10 days from then?- 1,801 replies
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Dumb ass question i suppose but if the PV splits and part of it ends up over europe and Uk, how long will it stay in that region or is there historical data to show this?- 1,801 replies
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Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Windysun1 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cheers Matt, Well over 5 feet of snow. Thats incredible. Most of been something to watch the flakes fall at that rate. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Windysun1 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bit off topic but what is the greatest snow depth recorded in UK after a snowstorm or roughly in a 24hr period? Cheers. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Windysun1 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think we will require an SSW event to get some sustained cold temps in and around the uk. -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thanks for reply. Quiet a complex science indeed.- 1,801 replies
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Windysun1 replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What date are you thinking that its effects will be felt in the British isles?- 1,801 replies
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Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Windysun1 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mr R J Smith knows a thing or 2 or 3 -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Windysun1 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry but what time does ECM come out again?