edinburgh_1992

Sharp sleet shower in Edinburgh too an hour ago. Sunny now and feeling quite warm in the sun, but cold when the wind blows. 9C.

Again, don't look at the models if you're looking for anything warm. Rain today and tomorrow, then moves in the Arctic air, followed by Atlantic depressions. The next 10 days are going to have mainly below average temperatures and very wet weather, after a brief dry (but cold) spell this weekend. CFS monthly showing above average precipitation for may over the UK again

:( back to winter everyone. 21 members going for snow in Edinburgh on Friday. More cold to follow, then low pressures pushing in from the west. CFS forecasts have backtracked with often above average precipitation for Scotland during may.

Lovely day in Edinburgh too, although not massively warm. Temperature sat around 11-12C for most of the day, only 8 this morning with low clouds. Tomorrow mostly cloudy, best chances of sun in the late morning. Possible light rain in the afternoon and evening. The arctic blast is looking very likely for Friday, although it's too early to say exactly where snow/rain will hit. The current temperature predictions would allow snow to fall down to 300m, possibly even lower

Great day here in Edinburgh too. Worth keeping an eye on next weekend as snow could reach very interesting altitudes for some... maybe it's already time to open the "hunt for cold" thread

In Scotland, as long as you're at a decent altitude you should be able to get good snowfalls. I've been to Pitlochry a few times this winter when it's been raining in Edinburgh to find everything white and subzero temperatures, and it's only a couple of hundred metres higher up. Also being further west definitely helps too, as snow showers from the north-west rarely make their way over to the east (2018 was an exception).

Even more confirmation this morning of how short lived this spell of nice weather is going to be. Already on Tuesday night the high pressure breaks and rain moves in. Wednesday-Friday looking very grey and dull for most, before temperatures take a dip over the weekend. Long term still very confusing, as GFS and members show flat scenarios with frequent depressions moving over the UK, whilst ECMWF keeps high pressure over us.

Vibrant blue skies here in Edinburgh and strong sunshine. But looking out north-west across the Forth, the sky is black. So far not even a single shower has reached us. EDIT: as the low moves away and winds veer to the north, some hefty showers are heading towards us as I speak

May outlook from CFS. I know it's not the most reliable model out there, but 90% of the runs point towards this type of scenario. Over the month there is a clear sign of high pressure extending north over the UK

Indeed the sun is out, there's no wind either. For once a storm has actually missed us and hit England instead (they deserve it ) So today should be a lovely day for those living in the lothians, bright sunshine is expected to continue and it should be feeling quite mild in sheltered areas. Tomorrow also dry, although more cloud cover generally. There will also be sunny spells. Sunny spells Monday and Tuesday as temperatures go up too, Wednesday looking likely to be rather wet however as high pressure breaks and allows a front to move in from the west Still a lot of uncertainty about what happens after.

The high pressure could give way around next Wednesday, bringing back unsettled weather conditions. Tomorrow is looking increasingly Still a lot of uncertainty at the moment, even at +120h the difference between gfs06 and gfs12 is massive! News for Saturday, latest GFS outputs suggest we could have a very sunny day over the Lothians! Was looking like a day of torrential rain just yesterday! Here's a cloud cover map for tomorrow at 14:00, it stays pretty much the same for the whole day here. Should be feeling nice in the light winds

Look quite wet in Edinburgh tomorrow, same Saturday. Models are so uncertain at the moment, even in the mid-range. Now looking like the high pressure could leave us much sooner than expected. No doubt they will change again

Thick clouds and showers moving now into the Lothians. This morning felt a lot warmer than of late, with bright sunshine and light winds. The eastern winds on Tuesday and Wednesday had felt positively cold. Temperatures should start to climb back up on Sunday and more so on Monday, next week should be feeling quite mild with light winds.

So all models now pointing towards high pressure from Sunday onwards. My main concern now is that it may be gloomy at times. There's quite a lot of cloud cover showing on ecmwf, less so on GFS.

GFS 12 looking very good with gfs P on board now too. Now let's hope we see something similar on ecmwf too

In any case, I can't see any flat charts on the runs, so even if the next low pressure does move east instead of sinking south, there are still plenty of opportunities for great weather as we head into may.

The area of low pressure could either sink south bringing back the nice weather to Scotland, or it could move east keeping temperatures low and often showery weather. There's about 50/50 chance of either way, but should the high pressure return we could be seeing high temperatures again (not as high, but still very mild), up to 18-20C in inland areas as the low pressure over Spain helps pull up warmer air over us. Seasonal tendencies still pointing towards anticyclonic blocking over the UK for May

Thursday afternoon-evening is going to bring plenty of rain in on a SE current. Same on Friday. So that should put an end to the wild fires. High pressure could temporarily return over the weekend, bringing temperatures back up, although nowhere near as warm as it has been the past few days.

Monthly outlooks still point towards above average temperatures and drier than usual for May, with high pressure rises to the north. No real signs of this happening any time soon on models, hopefully once we get this low pressure out of the way we will start seeing some positive signals.

Eastern Scotland could well end April with a surplus of rain (Edinburgh's average is 45mm) thanks to a blocked situation with low pressure stuck between areas of high pressure.

Current signals are for well below average temperatures for the end of April - beginning of may. Significant rainfall about to arrive for all of us as low pressures will find their path blocked by high pressure to the east, persisting for days without moving much. What will follow during the first week of may is unclear, current signals point towards very cold air moving down as high pressure rises to our west. Some runs still showing high pressure returning to the UK, but that area of low pressure arriving this week will most likely keep us under its influence for a long time. Either pulling in new lows from the west or colder air from the north

This low could be quite intense, with more to follow

Lovely day in Edinburgh, up to 22/23. I don't like the look of this low however. Could linger around us for a long time. Hopefully we see some change in the models, we could do with a bit of rain but not for days or potentially weeks

Definitely go towards st. Abbs, best chances of seeing sunshine and warm temperatures. The sea is still cold though so it will feel a bit fresher along the coast compared to inland. Barely any wind expected though so it should still be pleasant

It's really borderline, a slight east-shift and we'll be under unstable currents for a good few days. GFS06 is right on edge, with some rain initially and then slowly drying out as the high pressure reinforces. In any case we want that low to sink as low as possible. Let's hope for the best