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Jamie M

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Posts posted by Jamie M

  1.  reef

    I've noticed some of these adjustments in some of the data for Manston from https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/manstondata.txt although not entirely sure when it stopped. 

    July 2006 has a value of 350.1 hours for its K/Z sensor although the raw data from MIDAS seems to suggest it was 316.9 hours which is a pretty drastic difference. 

    It makes it hard to compare values when there seems to have been some adjustment that isn't clearly stated, can only presume it was to continue the consistency of one instrument being used but this correction isn't being done correctly so 🤷‍♂️

  2. Today does seem to hold some merit at least for the far SE for the potential of some thundery activity into the evening.

    Shear profiles from AROME do seem to suggest the possibility of organised convection developing in the far SE with a low chance of any storm developing supercellular characteristics with it. It seems more likely that this will happen in northern France due to the 1500 J/kg of MUCAPE being available vs the 600/700 available in the SE. The abundance of potential convection developing in the SE does make me feel it's pretty unlikely unless one of the storms scoops up everything left in its environment. 

    AROME did seem to play with the idea of a supercell developing in northern France on its 12z run yesterday with a storm that deviated to the right of its mean wind.

    Theta-E values are also highest in the far SE which seems to indicate to me at least that there is where most of the thundery activity will be even if convection does develop further west. All that being said however I still wouldn't put the chances of any thunderstorms developing at anything other than a slight chance considering conditions look MUCH better across the pond in France. 

    image.thumb.png.5a0e79cb0f557f5a5442a9e14d0299f9.pngimage.thumb.png.0b40568c456f7a65aced94442ea2b233.png

    • Like 5
  3. 7th  - 14th August had 120.7 hours at Shoeburyness, an average of 13.4 hours per day.

    One of the best periods of weather that I can remember recently as well as being very warm, avg max here in Herne Bay was 24.6C.

    A selection of some of the pictures I took during that period are here.

    DSC_5879edited.thumb.JPG.2f2e49f9d17f0a87d591b8e93313734c.JPGDSC_5972edited.thumb.JPG.24d688cfaeac72aba271cd0171573f48.JPGDSC_5998edited.thumb.JPG.816da8cd2efc96d7d0456c2696878ab6.JPGDSC_6161edited.thumb.jpg.f126fcfc72139b703a6d5af956691714.jpgDSC_6121edited.thumb.jpg.fbbb436fed6974b42631425b72159b8c.jpgDSC_6005edited.thumb.JPG.85bb558d9b3a34ffe51b3a7110acf408.JPGDSC_6037edited_1.thumb.jpg.3a055f6d4f2354e68e4205e063afc66e.jpg

    • Like 3
  4. 6 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:

    That chart is biblical in regards to snowstorms I absolutely agree 1881! This event could be insane for someone (if it plays out this way of course as it will head south after without thaw!) Fair play to Tamara this run is very 1979/79 actually!

    Wouldn't really say 1881 lol, very doubtful there'd be 24 inches of snow on the Sussex coast and 34 inches of snow on the Isle of Wight lol? It sure does look like a proper snow dump for someone but wouldn't say 1881 

    • Like 3
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  5. 3 minutes ago, Southern Storm said:

    It definitely is, someone In Ivybridge has posted a video that looks to be more snow than sleet, if you are on Facebook have a look at the southern UK Storm chaser page 

    May be the same person that's faked a tornado in their back garden a few times if it's a certain Crook 😉 😂

    • Like 4
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