[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

3 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Just a thought.. but.. 

Assuming this blocking signal becomes self perpetuating and lasts until the next MJO wave is able to help strengthen that signal further, we could be looking at a pretty unbelievable December from a winter & cold perspective. 

But then again I was suggesting a return to mild 10 minutes ago so, who knows!

I expect December 2015 will now quickly return 

[Teleconnections - Interactions and Impact]

I certainly need to scratch up my crumbs of knowledge on the GSDM so quite happy on the prospect of this becoming more active 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

32 minutes ago, Hoghtonwhite said:

No one or any model predicted December 2010 mate. Northerlies were only picked up 5 days in advance. Similar to now. Impossible to know what’s gonna happen after this weekend. 

ECM Mean from 18th November 2010 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

That flow would produce snow to lower levels. Just think of the depth of undisturbed surface cold in that slack of a flow at this time of year.

Would have to see it to believe it 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

Barely bringing in the -5C isotherm, superb 

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

Might take a while to process to 4K but here's the timelapse on YT 

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

One of the most spectacular displays of the aurora I have seen. 

Me and my Dad were stood in amazement especially looking at the sub auroral arc which can be seen in pictures 3, 4 & 5 especially when it started dancing across which I can only presume was the picket fence aurora! It was definitely weird though as the rays showed up on camera as completely white. The very bright ray in the second to last picture did show up to the eye fairly brightly with a tint of purple being visible to it as it moved west to east although slowly faded away. The green glow to the north did show up well to the eye although in mostly white and it seemed like the sun had set in that general direction. It definitely added another definition to fireworks night! 

 

[Storm Ciarán]

Fliquet in Jersey

Original pic is from:

 

[Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023]

Tony Gilbert's take for Sat/Sun 

[Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023]

I don't believe I've seen such a well-defined shelf cloud since July 2014 here, sea fog and mist obscuring most of it but such a clear cut in the sky was incredible to see. Fast moving as well, moved from W to N and has turned pretty dark and windy after it vanished 

[Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023]

Some storms possibly on Tuesday

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

Real time video of the aurora last Sunday during its first outburst

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

2357 BST last night from here in Herne Bay

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Funnel cloud to the NE at 1857 and 1859 BST earlier.

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

 

A few electrocuted fish by the looks 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

21 hours ago, Southern Storm said:

Look up Nikon Z9 Pre buffering 

Even better, here's a link 

https://www.nikonusa.com/en/learn-and-explore/a/tips-and-techniques/photographing-lightning-bolts-with-the-z-9-pre-release-burst-mode.html

Not liking the fact it's only JPEG especially as I love a bit of a tinker with editing 

Much rather get a lightning trigger 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

2 minutes ago, Harry said:

Lightning has suddenly gone nuts - a few rumbles but I’m seeing IC lightning flashes every 1-2 seconds

Happened with a storm to my east near Birchington just before midnight, 10 minutes of near constant lightning before it went kaput again

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Shortwave moving into Channel has caused a shift in energy headed east, steering winds seems to have changed too 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Port Dilette thunderstorm, jesus

 http://80.14.201.251:8010/view/view.shtml?id=1380&imagepath=/mjpg/video.mjpg&size=1

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Sky has been swamped by that plumey looking dull high cloud ahead of these storms 

France seems to be rapidly coming alive

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Similarities to 20th July 2019 on UKV 6z 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Pretty saturated sounding from Camborne this morning which might explain why the electrical aspects of the storms didn't make it too far inland. Like @Ben Sainsbury said, I'm a bit surprised at just how active they were. 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

Off they go

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

18 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Bit of a pileus fest occurring to my SE now

Could see those pileus caps from here in Herne Bay, didn't think to take a picture as they were a fair distance away but glad I wasn't seeing things 

[Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023]

3 minutes ago, viking_smb said:

have you got the text from it as well please or link?

Sorry, you do not have permission for that!

WWW.UKWEATHERWORLD.CO.UK

"Slight Risk of Elevated Thunderstorms England & Wales 05z-00z

An early heads up to get the ball rolling on this one;

Models and forecast soundings are suggesting that most, if not all convection will remain elevated throughout Sunday. Though it is noted that the enhanced convective zone along the South Coast 14z-00z, will develop within a strong Deep Layer Shear. This means that some storms, whilst elevated could still become severe for a time. Forecast Soundings show a saturated vertical profile which could indicate some local flooding could occur. Wind gusts to 38 kts possible."