Cuban Zebra

Coming from just down the road to you a potent easterly stacks it up against the Pennines and means a dumping for us. FWIW I think we’re in the draw for something memorable!!

OMG!! I’m watching the rest of this run from behind the sofa!! Look at the depth of cold that looks to be incoming. Also, the distinct lack of cold over the other side of the other side of the Atlantic is as equally impressive!

Sweet spot for convection is from The Wash North, you get a long fetch across the Baltic Sea, then the North Sea! Yorkshire normally is in the firing line!!!

I was just about to say the same, although wouldn’t need much cold from the North to cool it down!!

Having lurked for a while, watching some of our erstwhile members chew lumps of each other I just want to remind everyone of the old adage “ get the cold in first!” We look to be entering a cold/ very cold phase and I’m pretty sure the temps will drop lower than modelled and snow will pop up at the last minute almost anywhere... we’re entering the most exciting period of winter weather for some time, strap yourself in!!!

Just when you think this pathetic apology of a winter couldn’t get any worse we see these charts, I know it’s in the far reaches of FI but what are the odds of these verifying above the lovely cold ones we saw a couple of runs ago!!!

I think to dismiss the charts as being unrealistic is a bit short sighted. I’m pretty sure the recent record lows in Russia and highs in Australia were seen as such when forecast, this year seems to be of extremes and looking at some of the charts we may be seeing one!!!!

The signals seem to be pointing to a pattern change at last!! The PV is on the move, hopefully it’ll be favourable for us!!

Yes I know it’s a long way away but a few more frames of the 06z and this would look loverly!!

Out in FI you can pick up the changes in the pattern. I’m pretty sure in the next few runs we’re going to see some real coldie eye candy charts!!

Probably should have said interesting! I reckon a good cold shot will materialise soon!

We’re going to have to batten down the hatches!! Some extreme figures for some here! There seems to be something at play now, I think we’ll start to see some cracking charts appear for extreme weather hunters!!

We are in a period of the life of the planet when violent swings in extremes are getting more and more, well, extreme! The models rely on mathematical equations that get adjusted by humans based on forces outside these models. I’m of the belief that the current modelling has hit a “default” phase while everything equalises out, the “BOOM” charts we saw a few days ago will start to appear again. I expect to see some runs materialise soon!!!

This is model related, just a different one we’re used to. Could this contribute to a slow down in the jet stream that we all Crave? Climate Prediction Center’s February Through April Outlook WWW.WEATHERNATIONTV.COM Last week, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued their outlook covering February, March, and April. Warmer than normal temperature are forecast from the Easte

looks like it’s not just us suffering a mild winter so far, saw this on an American FB site! is the Pacific affecting our weather as a knock on effect? Well the pattern doesn't look good for us Winter lovers after this cold snap. Recall a few days ago I was watching everything we meteorologists look at going out into the future, and all guidance and teleconnections looked like a major pattern change was coming and would stay. Thats no longer the case. Instead, Alaska and Greenland remain cold as the main heart of Arctic cold stays locked up, after our brief bout of cold next few days. Thats not good for us in the Southeast, nor really anyplace in the middle to eastern seaboard for getting and keeping cold air around. The Pacific jet is loaded with waves that keep in pushing across the country, and not allowing enough time or wavelength distance to alter the flow toward a strong Winter like pattern yet. Every few days we have another rain making storm cut inland, and possibly behind it we cool off some, before we have the next inland cutting storm, and you guessed it--more rain. Its a guessing game as to when we really fundamentally shift the pattern, but it's no time really soon I'm afraid for those of us wanting a Winter storm to track. As always though next couple of weeks, with atleast marginal cold air following some storms, we'll have to monitor any small scale systems that may drag down "just enough" marginally cold air to work with somewhere, but right now, just not impressed with the pattern for most of us for the remainder of the month. Here's a big picture look of the overall flow pattern out through day 10.

Well hello there!!

Hey! We won last night and the charts are looking up!!

We’ve so many background signals etc... fail to deliver this winter. A bit of adjustment westward and we’ll be in the game!!

This forum never fails to amaze me, yesterday each model brought a variation on a theme but looked cold and snowy. Then another run leaves a few posters declaring winter is over, it’s one run people! For things to be changing so frequently and so close then something must be seriously up!

I think “dreckly” better describes this winter!!

I promised myself I wouldn’t get sucked in to this again... what the hell

I’m sorry, but what does this mean?

Just as you think you kind of get this model watching lark this happens!!!

I’m pretty new to posting on this forum but I can’t believe some people on here, talk about teddies out of the pram! The rate the models are flipping we’ll be back in the fridge tomorrow! How anyone can call anything beyond Monday at the minute is beyond me!

This may sound daft but what would the wind direction and weather we’d get from that set up right there????