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Cuban Zebra

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Everything posted by Cuban Zebra

  1. Cuban Zebra
    I lot of us have been saying for a while that there is a huge amount of bottled up cold, it doesn’t take much to release it in our direction as per the 6z, it may all flip back on the 12z but it makes it more interesting than the 21 days of anti cyclonic dirge we were seeing yesterday! Also, I’d like to understand the drivers that continuously shove the vortex back over Canada despite it being pushed, pulled and split apart.
  2. Cuban Zebra
    As the name says we’re hunting for cold in this thread, looking at the 12z the best place to find cold would be in your freezer in the next 3 weeks! Indeed, anywhere south of the M62 looks being devoid of anything of note in the same timeframe! The vortex is roaming that quick it seems that as soon as it leaves Canada it’s back, supercharging the jet in the process!
  3. Cuban Zebra
    FWIW I’m pretty sure for the next few days we’re going to continue to see huge swings such as this on the 6z To this on the 12z Both bring cold weather but different routes!! Exciting model watching times indeed!!
  4. Cuban Zebra
    We’ll hello!! Where are you going???
  5. Cuban Zebra
    FWIW without really digging into the archives I think we’re on route to cold from an unusual direction. We seem to chase the with the beasterly every year, this comment may not age well but I can see a good old fashioned winter period coming!!!
  6. Cuban Zebra
    This has to be the biggest let down winter wise IMBY for a long time, we have a fantastic set up but everything that could go wrong to scupper it has! I think we’ll be lucky to get a covering I think!!
  7. Cuban Zebra
    Everyone needs to calm down, the North Sea snow machine is kicking in a lot more than seems predicted!!!!
  8. Cuban Zebra
  9. Cuban Zebra
    That is textbook sea effect streamers all the way from the Baltic!! Areas close to Pennines will get buried with the longevity of the flow!!!! Also, if it’s showing that now out at this range the confidence must be high as an Easterly flow normally delivers more than expected!
  10. Cuban Zebra
    I think it just demonstrates the current unpredictability, once things get going the warnings will soon appear!
  11. Cuban Zebra
    Just when you think it can’t upgrade again!!!
  12. Cuban Zebra
    There’s charts lurking but I refuse to get drawn in yet, I’ve had my heart broken too many times!!!! I hope I’m wrong but I can sense a horrible, horrible twist in the tale that will leave some on here truly suicidal!!! #reverse psychology!!!
  13. Cuban Zebra
    I’d say it got it pretty much bang on today!!
  14. Cuban Zebra
    Or maybe it’s a very rare combination of events that the models have very little experience of handling and the same goes for the human input element as well.
  15. Cuban Zebra
    So what’s to say tomorrow it won’t show 3ft of lying snow!! Everything’s a bit bonkers at the minute with what is happening high up!! I’m just strapping myself in and enjoying the ride!
  16. Cuban Zebra
    We shouldn’t really be surprised by the major changes we’re seeing, what with all the volatility in the air! The second warming is well under way so that’s probably causing the issues! Allowing the run to run changes to affect you is a one way ticket to a nervous breakdown!!
  17. Cuban Zebra
    I’ve stayed away for a while to heal my shredded nerves but looking at the GFS 12z I can’t believe the differences even at 3-4 days! I think we’re still in with a shout of some serious cold!!
  18. Cuban Zebra
    If it’s anything like this week it’ll just be cold bloody rain!!!
  19. Cuban Zebra
    That’s about as bad as it gets for us, a supercharged jet firing straight into us!! Thanks god it’s so far away!!
  20. Cuban Zebra
    That’s a huge understatement!
  21. Cuban Zebra
    As the pieces start to fall into place in the next 24-48 hours we’ll see this improve and steadily head downwards!
  22. Cuban Zebra
    Spot on comment, but I think the donkey is drunk as well!
  23. Cuban Zebra
    We seem to have a lot of posters on here falling into the trap of commenting on the massive swings in each run and react accordingly, this is the quickest way to a nervous breakdown. Many moons ago a well respected poster said to compare runs, I.e yesterday’s 6z with today’s 6z for a better idea of where things are going! I don’t know the science behind the runs but it does seem to work!
  24. Cuban Zebra
    I know it’s deep in FI but another couple of frames on this would eclipse anything we’ve been seeing! It is a definite possibility though as it’s a signal that keeps popping up on different runs, perhaps the SSW?? I don’t think dew points would be the discussion then!!
  25. Cuban Zebra
    Last winter we were seeing charts like this in “La La Land” if at all! Most of us would have sold our soul for a flurry let alone what could potentially be on offer over the next month or so! For me the signals are there for a winter of epic proportions but unfortunately due the location of our little rock it could also fall flat on its face.... and that ladies and gentlemen is why we do this to ourselves every winter!!!
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