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Updated_Weather

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Everything posted by Updated_Weather

  1. Updated_Weather
    UKMO GIF - 168hr
  2. Updated_Weather
    He never post charts so don’t hold out hope!
  3. Updated_Weather
    I don’t know about anyone else but having high pressure over us which produces cold/cool frosty nights and low temps with sun is the second best thing in winter.. I’m happy if I can’t get snow. Snow is the only reason I like winter other than that I hate the cold.
  4. Updated_Weather
    Yes believe it is.
  5. Updated_Weather
    The fact this is only 6 days away should raise some eyebrows, it can’t be binned. It’s possible. wait to see what the ensembles say - interesting 12z & ECM later. Possible. Can happen.
  6. Updated_Weather
    I guess people can’t remember times when the outlook changed to a more colder outlook at short notice. I mean chasing 10+ day charts are always pointless. Always about the pattern and where we can go from there.. but writing off Jan already is completely bonkers. day at a time.
  7. Updated_Weather
    Which isn’t a bad thing.
  8. Updated_Weather
    One thing we can say with near confidence is GFS has beaten ECM etc with the location of the high for next week - which a lot here were doubting. Goes to show. interest is after.. a lot to happen before that.
  9. Updated_Weather
    Mild where? Depends what you class mild.. but next week is looking cool/cold for most.
  10. Updated_Weather
    Seems icon is trending towards GFS
  11. Updated_Weather
    Doesn’t mean it’s wrong..
  12. Updated_Weather
    For future reference as you seem to comment on a lot of the runs.. but please post charts to back up/show what you’re seeing. helps people out??
  13. Updated_Weather
    Hate to say.. but GFS snow charts are almost useless as they are always OTT.. arome & harmonie are the best hi res models
  14. Updated_Weather
    Interesting tweet by Matt Hugo ”Interesting to note a more sig region of -ve E'ly AAM anoms now propagating towards higher lats (top image, far right, green area) - this an indication of the progression towards more anticyclonic weather looking ahead. Position of the high still crucial but I think GFS has this”
  15. Updated_Weather
    Well it is quite different.. which tbh is strange. I’d say good for cold (I think)
  16. Updated_Weather
    Well.. we shall see won’t we! The weather will only have the last laugh! yes it’ll be nice to have them on board but plenty of time for that.. remember it has to be one to sniff the potential first.. I thought gfs was good at doing that.. time will tell.
  17. Updated_Weather
    Is it true? Is the chase back on?
  18. Updated_Weather
    Yep it’s a long shot but surprises happen.. and I’m not just hoping because I’m in with a chance but, nothing to get excited about imo
  19. Updated_Weather
    Maybe some interest or maybe some hope but those who haven’t seen some snow yet.. *MAY* get a chance as the low clears south, as harmonie suggests some may see some wintriness. but my bet is it’ll be either rain or at best sleet. no covering expected.
  20. Updated_Weather
    Yeah we have been in a favourable conditions before Xmas regarding MJO etc.. look what happened. Had no effect on us at all. just my opinion.. we will see how it plays out.
  21. Updated_Weather
    Pretty easy to suggest that January won’t see anything noteworthy imo.. because the background drivers don’t support it.. Jan SSW unlikely.. and you’ve got other factors that just don’t support us being in a good position for Cold/snow - not saying we won’t see some snow through Jan, but doubt it’ll be very noteworthy. Feb/March probably a better chance but that’s usually the case with UK winters.
  22. Updated_Weather
    Mate.. it’s over. this “event” was never likely in any situation tbh. GFS being typical and being it’s usual self.. people need to learn and not take every run like the 6z as gospel. It’ll only lead to disappointment. follow UKMO and ECM imo.. can’t see any snow event or anything noteworthy through the rest of jan.
  23. Updated_Weather
    Unlikely. fax charts which are far more reliable.. suggest otherwise. low further south.. barely anything notable.
  24. Updated_Weather
    Fax chart for Tuesday.. low further south.. barely any snow. Maybe some wintriness instead of accumulations as the low clears south. imo gfs has this wrong.
  25. Updated_Weather
    Apps will never be interested until literally a few hours - day max! Although Met O and BBC both show sleet for me in Essex.. Never take it seriously.
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