oliverek7

Looks like a cold plunge into Europe by 22nd of feb and that air starts to nudge closer to the uk! So southeasterly may be good just probably no snow with that unless wind direction changes

Wow imagine that! Would be the greatest day in British history! Blizzard brexit!

Where on earth are you getting these record breaking temperatures from? I’m looking through all the weather models and haven’t seen anything close to 20! I’m only seeing maximum 14-15C

Quite right! That is exactly what I’ve been saying to my mates when they ask about the weather and “oh my god it’s gonna be a heatwave” so glad someone has picked up on this too! There is always going to be high pressure around so if it just moves north into Scandinavia then we should be set!

Fantastic! What are the chances of that? Mother Nature really hates us this winter

Ohhh Christ that is bad... when I saw that it felt like a punch to the heart. Why!

Sorry I’ve been a bit of an idiot. 12z I meant. Don’t know where I got that from

Next ECM could be entirely different though when it comes out just like the gfs which was showing south westerlies on the 22nd and is now showing south easterlies

Right so, basically, gfs has now switched at the 18z and is showing high pressure establishing itself in Northern Europe into eastern Scandinavia over the Baltic which is good! Winds begin to filter in from northern Russia over Eastern Europe and then the winds start to come in from a south easterly direction for us which is directly from where the at cold air will be sitting, however, this would only give us clear and cold weather if it is still cold if it actually reaches us so nothing particularly exciting but i will be watching this high closely to see if it moves a bit west because if it does then we could have our last shot at cold and maybe go out with a bang to the end of this awful winter so far! Just waiting to see what ecm shows and then we’ll see. (Obviously this can be ignored probably as this is over a week away still so absolutely no reason why this should not change completely to westerlies!)

Atmospheric gods needs to be with us. We have been hunting for proper cold all winter, we deserve this!

I’m remaining optimistic, a slight shift north with that high pressure could be the jackpot

Why give up? That could easily change! The fact that 80% of weather models forecasted easterlies in late January, the 20% won out demonstrates this. Majority may not always be true!

Top quality letter to high. This shows off the ‘banter’ part of this discussion. I think I will also write to someone who has been bothering me lately and who is responsible for our overwhelmingly frustrating model changes from day to day. That is, North American low Mr NA low, could you please keep yourself from forming over the US because you are inviting papa polar vortex to be sucked in from the north so could you please refrain from doing that to keep the jet stream stable as he’s having a bit of a rough time at the moment, we made need to give him counselling due to the waves you have wriggled up him, if you could then prevent yourself from forming to allow mr Greenland high to move in and rent a spot for at least a week or so in Scandinavia that would be much appreciated, he will be able to build on that too if he’s left on his own. This would allow the jet stream to weaken and power down after such a tough few weeks so he would also approve greatly. Thank you for taking your time to read this. I will send this out via the atmospheric mail service to all highs and lows around the globe to cooperate with each other to give us what we deserve. Thank you and goodbye

Posted the wrong one sorry, this is the latest one for end of feb, blues starting to invade the uk. Don’t know how far they will get though, you can see the winds angling from southern Germany and Czech Republic

Pretty spectacular uppers in Eastern Europe making some inroads to the uk by late feb on the latest gfs run!

This is mirroring what we saw last year nearly! It did get very mild towards mid feb beast from the east hit! Maybe it is a sign! If this is what happens again this year then we can use this as a strong signal potentially for future winters!

Unbelievable. Once again another ec tease which will probably vanish into nothing within a day. My god this is such a hunt. Will this actually happen for once?

So irritating that a few days ago both gfs and ec were showing high pressure to the northeast which would have given us an easterly and blocking! But that poxy high is now to southeast and, just to rub it in, is drawing up very mild air from all the way south! Disgusting weather!

Looking likely for cold moving westwards from western Russia but not looking like all the way from Siberia currently which is a bit disappointing but if the temperatures remain around or below freezing by day I’ll be very happy! ECM showing daytime highs of around 2-3 for much of the country by Friday next week

Praying for ecm to be the reality at the end of next week! Nice easterly feed showing with a large Scandi high!

Signs of negative NAO towards mid to late feb so hopefully that can actually happen so we get smashed with brutal easterly winds and snow like last year!

Pretty sloppy anomalies for mid feb on EC model but we are still two weeks away so could easily change (praying to god).

There is definitely no way of knowing what February will bring if the level of uncertainty for the wind direction was so high at the end of the week before last week. Easterly was forecast to be by Friday 25th on the Friday before but turned out to be a northwesterly which it changed o the day after so after witnessing that there is definitely no way anyone could know what the rest of the winter will bring! 2010’s winter forecast was for it most likely to be mild but it turned out extremely cold and snowy! Don’t rate this winter yet when we still have a month to go and who knows, maybe we could get a repeat of last year’s late season cold spell. Accuweather has never been correct and bbc weather has gone downhill after switching to Meteogroup so just focus on the weather models and the met office as they are much more reliable to look at!

Remember we are still a week or so away from what the weather models are predicting! Judging by what happened last weekend when they changed, hopefully it could turn really cold with the weather models this weekend so they can redeem themselves after the disappointment that we were met with last weekend

Just to wet your snow appetite!