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Eastern Scotland WX

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Posts posted by Eastern Scotland WX

  1. 2 minutes ago, LomondSnowstorm said:

    I think the heavier stuff is still likely to move in in a couple of hours, the UKV at least has a lull then some more later on626568274_viewimage(3).thumb.png.307f2ef66a4300707a2ed6bac8ac5a7d.png

    Better for the Lothians and Dundee too (moving into Perth as well) but certainly suggests we're not out of it just yet!

    The juicy stuff just off the coast of Fife and Dundee will probably be the main course for most this evening.

    • Like 3
  2. 6 minutes ago, edo said:

    Seems to be snowing in Belfast at the moment so maybe hope for a lot of you guys yet, it does not feel cold enough here that even if it reaches it will be snow but as my weather station broke and I never replaced it I'm just using the how cold is my face whilst walking the dog temp check. I am definitely more hopeful of north sea showers reaching here and being snow tomorrow albeit not huge accumulations. 

    it's around 2c in perth with near 0C dew point. the band might make it as far east as there but the precip might not. watching the stuff to the north too as that will slide SSW or S later. 

  3. 2 minutes ago, edo said:

    Nice @MAXcrazystormI'm off for 2 glorious weeks so can lamppost watch all hours....

     

    A week away but I do like the look of this a week away, easterlys keep showing up and no beasts from the east but with the sea temps warmer perhaps can generate some decent events in this cold spell which it does now appear like its going to be an actual spell. 

    Screenshot_20201226-210706_Chrome.jpg

    It looks to stay cold even until after the new year so any snow shouldn't melt to quickly at least, though could be a big ice issue. 

    • Like 3
  4. 15 minutes ago, edo said:

    Did someone say Perth South of Perth probably right

    Ha well the UKV model has been incredibly consistent today with bringing snow across Perth in the last 5 or 6 runs and i am also from Perth too but about 4 or 5 miles SE of the city centre so i am in the valley, however i do think a few cm could accumulate even in the lower parts of Perth but more than that possibly near the Broxden area and higher elevations. Tomorrow evening is worth watching. 

    • Like 2
  5. 20 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

    This Afternoon runs are Drunk for tomorrow evening and night across Scotland isn't it. UKV and ICON has one solution and the other models have another solution. 
    UKV/ICON combined: This would Bring the greatest Risk in Fife , Perth and Kinross, Stirling and the greater Glasgow area and points east of there as well as to the north across the Loch Lomond areas. ( 1-3cm quite widely ) 5-10cm over higher ground above 200m
    GFS/WRF: These models suggests the greatest snow risk will be across the west Highlands and areas to the west and NW of Glasgow leaving everywhere snow free essentially. 
    HARMONIE/Aperge: These models are a little different to each other, however both have lighter snowfalls and its a more a middle ground scenario some would say. HARMONIE has some light snow setting up between Perth and points west but The heaviest precipitation is across the Highland region and this would probably limit accumulations to lower elevations. However though It does have heavier snowfall across Greater Glasgow which could allow some settling above 100m or so. APERGE is similar to the more west Solution but it does suggest a few light flurries between Stirling and points west towards the band to the west of Glasgow. 
    > It will most likely be radar watching unless if there is an agreement overnight or tomorrow morning with this band of wintry precipitation. 

    The latest Euro 4 gives everyone SE of Braemar some sort of snow in the evening , Best snow is Perth southwards generally and a good 1-3cm for much of the central belt. So the met models and icon are more east and the other models are more West, we now await ECMWF and the 15z UKV later. 

    • Like 6
  6. 8 minutes ago, metallikat34 said:

    Good analysis @LomondSnowstorm! As you say, it's all about the track and position of the storm center. I think snow for northern and western Scotland is a sure thing. But whether this becomes a more wide spread snow event for Scotland is still up for debate. Here on the eastern end of the central belt, my fingers are crossed, but I am not so sure.

    Instability will play a big role, but how much instability can we expect given the significant surface temperature drops? Still, I am excited at the possibilities! 

    Euro 4 is rolling out now. 

    • Like 3
  7. This Afternoon runs are Drunk for tomorrow evening and night across Scotland isn't it. UKV and ICON has one solution and the other models have another solution. 
    UKV/ICON combined: This would Bring the greatest Risk in Fife , Perth and Kinross, Stirling and the greater Glasgow area and points east of there as well as to the north across the Loch Lomond areas. ( 1-3cm quite widely ) 5-10cm over higher ground above 200m
    GFS/WRF: These models suggests the greatest snow risk will be across the west Highlands and areas to the west and NW of Glasgow leaving everywhere snow free essentially. 
    HARMONIE/Aperge: These models are a little different to each other, however both have lighter snowfalls and its a more a middle ground scenario some would say. HARMONIE has some light snow setting up between Perth and points west but The heaviest precipitation is across the Highland region and this would probably limit accumulations to lower elevations. However though It does have heavier snowfall across Greater Glasgow which could allow some settling above 100m or so. APERGE is similar to the more west Solution but it does suggest a few light flurries between Stirling and points west towards the band to the west of Glasgow. 
    > It will most likely be radar watching unless if there is an agreement overnight or tomorrow morning with this band of wintry precipitation. 

    • Like 7
  8. On 11/10/2020 at 23:25, Mapantz said:

    If you want to get technical, the rain rates are calculated from the original dBZ values provided by the radar scan. 

    I wonder if there could be customisable unit options on the V8 radar for example you can change from mm, to DBZ to Inches? 

  9. 11 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

    Thank you very much Paul for the reply. One  of the reasons i asked this was that there is another radar subscription out there for the UK with 500m precip type. 1km is Fine and with the smoothing its going to look good with or without the 500m res anyways. Looking forward to the smoothing though, Hopefully its out before the winter months...  

    Ignore what i said. just noticed they are same res but the other radar i am on about feels higher res it seems, i think its cause there is more gradient in the colour table making the pixels stand out better for each intensity level.

  10. 1 minute ago, Paul said:

    The precipitation type data is 1km resolution at the moment, so we'll not be upgrading that until the Met Office do (if they do). We are looking at smoothing it though.

    Thank you very much Paul for the reply. One  of the reasons i asked this was that there is another radar subscription out there for the UK with 500m precip type. 1km is Fine and with the smoothing its going to look good with or without the 500m res anyways. Looking forward to the smoothing though, Hopefully its out before the winter months...  

  11. Is there any plans to upgrade the Precip type radar to a higher resolution than it currently is as well as the smoothing feature? E.g. from the current 1km res ( i assume ) to the 500m resolution matching the current rainfall radar. 

  12. Just now, Jamiee said:

    Good to see we've got some people with manners this evening. Nothing like talking down to people eh. 

    i could of not explained to him at all what the scale means and what the colours show. i could of said, maybe you could of got a free app before trying out a subscription.

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