Cloud 10

The UKMO 12z harpoon's the Arctic blast at just 96hrs with a small LP which splits the High in two preventing full retrogression,unlike the GFS which is clean as a whistle. Lets see if the ECM agrees.

Interesting end to the ECM...

Cracking cold front spreading south on ecm 12z.

ECM teeing up the arctic blast at 168 hrs. Will it be straight down the middle or a big slice?

Easter monday ECM.

Got a dusting of snow here this morning. Potent northerly looks a real possibility for easter weekend.

Some extreme ensembles on the 12z gefs which would provide pretty brutal conditions for early April. 12z GEFS mean supports the possibilities.

Far to soon to be posting precip. charts....

Easter weekend's always seem to have an "anything goes"theme.

Must be getting some decent drifts ap there by now with the wind strength.

Still the odd flake coing down and a noticeable increase in the wind. A penetrating frost tonight followed by a bitterly cold day tomorrow.

A few flakes of snow falling here now.

Your back garden by 6pm.

Fair play to the met office for the warning they gave out on Tuesday for today when all the models we see had us completely dry.

Depends how you look at it.

-10 at Newcastle. https://www.xcweather.co.uk/GB/observations

ECM pub run with cold air inc. at the end.

It would be interesting to see the jet profile at that timeframe.

Really does look as though there is a wall there in the atlantic at day 6,and a sharp one at that. Strat related?

Euro 4 looks very similar. Current radar.

New warning just issued: Regions and local authorities affected: Central, Tayside & Fife Angus Dundee Fife Perth and Kinross Grampian Aberdeen Aberdeenshire Moray Highlands & Eilean Siar Highland North East England Durham Gateshead Newcastle upon Tyne North Tyneside Northumberland South Tyneside Sunderland Orkney & Shetland Orkney Islands Shetland Islands SW Scotland, Lothian Borders East Lothian Scottish Borders Headline Further snow showers may bring travel disruption. What to expect Some roads and railways likely to be affected with longer journey times by road, bus and train services Some injuries from slips and falls on icy surfaces Probably some icy patches on some untreated roads, pavements and cycle paths What should I do? Cold weather and driving How cold weather affects your health Issued: 10:44 (UTC) on Thu 11 Feb 2021 Further details Further snow showers, most frequent on Friday night across Angus and Aberdeenshire, becoming fewer and lighter on Saturday morning. Fresh accumulations of 1 to 3 cm are expected, but locally 5 to 10 cm over higher ground of northeast Scotland. In addition, icy stretches will form as any partially melted snow refreezes, especially at lower levels.

Going to feel brutally cold Friday/Saturday as a SE wind picks up,very high windchill and drifting of existing snow cover especially on the higher routes.