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NewEra21

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Everything posted by NewEra21

  1. NewEra21
    I know this mornings ECM run isn’t the dream charts we're all looking for, but I'd genuinely take it in the build up to Christmas. Cold always in or around us, with room for tweaks and upgrades as we get closer. No it's not the dream cold charts, but it's a hell of a lot better than raging SW winds and nonstop mild.
  2. NewEra21
    No matter if this run is somewhat of an outlier, it just shows that anything is still possible next week as of yet. We're still in the game, and that's all we could ask for as coldies!
  3. NewEra21
    Just had a very light snow shower here, fresh flakes on bin lids etc.
  4. NewEra21
    Was a glorious sunny morning here, now thick fog has rolled in. Breeze also slightly stronger today with feels absolutely biting! Also wonder how far south these showers pushing down into Norfolk might come before running out of gas?
  5. NewEra21
    Think I might be too far north in Suffolk, but here's hoping anyway.....
  6. NewEra21
    Feel like tomorrow night into Monday will be a case of watching the radar to see what happens, something more could evolve out of this than what the models are showing. But then maybe nothing will happen at all. But at least some are in with a chance, especially the further SE you go!
  7. NewEra21
    Something still on for the SE Sunday into Monday...
  8. NewEra21
    Closer look, it looks like some alien trying to suck the UK into it's midst
  9. NewEra21
    Basically just this mornings 00z ECM run, the BBC really are so poor. They just copy and paste whatever the previous ECM run shows no matter what. Not to say it's wrong of course!
  10. NewEra21
    I mean the possibility of a little snow has appeared at 72hrs for the SE on this ECM run, not that it's true. But as long as we keep the cold in place, surprises will pop up. Today is still just the first real day of the cold spell UK wide.
  11. NewEra21
    Initially it looked like we would lose the cold on the 14th, now it's around the 18th-19th. I just feel by the end of this weekend that date will have been pushed back once more. GFS always tries to drive the Atlantic through with ease at some point, only to backtrack as we get closer. Obviously the Atlantic could and will obviously win out at some point, but I feel this cold spell has a lot of legs left in it as of yet.
  12. NewEra21
    This is what we want to see, the lows way south and us locked into cold. Snow opportunities will always pop up as long as we're cold. Not the case if these lows push north bringing the milder air through, bar a few hours of possible slush.
  13. NewEra21
    Sacrifice the snow for now and lock in the cold. Love this run and would take it all day long!
  14. NewEra21
    Still get the feeling this low will barely scrape the south coast as we draw closer to the time, which will be a good result for everyone cold wise.
  15. NewEra21
    Uncle Barty just in time for Christmas And yes I am joking, as that's nothing like the dreaded B word.
  16. NewEra21
    By Wednesday, that's why it's worth sacrificing any snow from these lows and just keep us on the cold side with them tracking further South.
  17. NewEra21
    These lows need to stay south, very risky once they get further and further north. And this ECM run shows why, a few hours of slushy snow and that's it.
  18. NewEra21
    I know uppers aren't everything, but past few runs the uppers look like they've been downgraded a fair bit for the end of this week.
  19. NewEra21
    Let's hope the op and control are leading the way here...
  20. NewEra21
    Hope these lows stay as far south as possible, even if it means the UK misses any meaningful snow. Would rather we lock in the cold than get a few hours of snow before the mild pushes through. Just my opinion of course!
  21. NewEra21
    Really feels like this is slipping away now, Northern areas may see a little snow but nothing is going to last as there's just no longevity. Everything needs to correct south and quickly over the next few runs if we're going to pull this back.
  22. NewEra21
    Feels like GFS has been one step behind the ECM in this whole upcoming cold spell, we all got a little excitement about GFS but it's merely just a day or so behind where the ECM was a few days ago.
  23. NewEra21
    Thankfully ECM is a huge outlier with that low later in the run. And as we all know anyway, these lows more often than not trend further and further south in a cold set up as time draws nearer. Barely scraping the south coast usually!
  24. NewEra21
    Much, much better GFS run. The only trouble is, is it still just playing catchup up like the past few days and the ECM is one step ahead? That's why caution is needed.
  25. NewEra21
    I'm not going to go into anything too technical, as to be frank I'm very much a noob compared to many knowledgeable posters on here. And I know ensembles don't tell the whole story, but just looking at these ensembles from the 00z GFS. You'd have bitten your hand off for these at the start of any UK winter. Let alone the SE, so the north will be even better!
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