Shillitocettwo
-
Posts
110 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Shillitocettwo
-
-
Drab July thus far (cooler and drier than my expectation however.....)
I expect August to be truly insipid, cool, giving 2014 a run for coolness. It will fail to hit 20.C in all but SE most days with NW winds dominant, dull, damp and Atlantic in an unseasonable Polar Maritime way.
So 14.6.C please and 105mm
However..... I see a very slow Azores High migration and a September almost as sunny as Spring and warm with it (infact Sep 2020 will have a higher CET than any of the 3 summer months of this year).....
Plenty of Summer weather in 2020, just not in *actual Summer *
-
Warmer than average but not markedly so, but definitely wetter than average with plenty of rain, frontal from depressions, storms etc. One decent plume producing a short run of 30.C+ but nothing as warm as last years record.
17.0.C and 125mm please!
-
18.5.C ........what was I thinking!
-
Rainfall 8.3mm
-
June 2020 will be a record warm one. CET 18.5.C It will be very anticyclonic and very dry too. Dry but not unusually warm at first with a few chilly nights but heat building in SE Europe at present will plume up in SE winds in the last 10 days giving temperatures breaking the all time record, 41.3.C and a night not dropping below 26.C following. The headlines will be all about schools closing again due to heat jus5 after some reopen due to Coronavirus. Will it last? No. This will be a front loaded Summer with a warm but very unstable July full of vicious thunderstorms and an absolutely abysmal August.
-
1
-
-
Thankfully drier than average with a lot of High pressure, it will start cool with frosts but the month will show both temp extremes, a bit of snow in week before Good Friday but a strong Spanish plume jacking the average up near end, which will give temps exceeding 30.C. Overall 9.0.C and 34mm.
-
I cant help feel that March will actually turn colder and be the 'winter month' outside of meteorological winter. We will still get plenty of stormy weather (I called storms in Feb and teo so far if not the correct part if month.,) but the winds will at times gave more of a northern polar maritime and even Arctic bite to them. Being March, while most of the UK will get involved in the snow, it will come and go and the March sunshine will see off any accumulations rather speedily in the daytime. 130mm and 5.5.C please
-
I will start with Feb.....
Feb 2020 - Mildest in recent years. Settled and foggy mid month but ending with an horrific storm to rival Oct 1987.
March 2020 - A weird month starting stormy, segueing into the only real ‘winter’ weather of the season with a wet snowy early period and staying a little below average before an insane warmup near the end. Vet just below average at 6.2.C which will be lower than any of the 3 ‘winter’ months we have just had.
April 2020 - A prolonged spell of dry weather with very warm daytime highs and cool nights. Record CET of 12.1.C
May 2020 - Vacillating between unseasonably high temperatures exceeding 30.C courtesy of a very warm continent (breaking many May warmth records) and cooling off and stormier periods, CET close to 15.C so warmest in recent years.
June 2020 - At last a genuine ‘flaming June’ with insanely high temperatures on the Continent exceeding 40.C and our first ever temp above 39.C. CET running above 20.C until mid month thereafter the weather steadily degenerates into a succession of unseasonable Lows with a disappointing cold wet end. CET of 18.C, high but not a record.
July 2020 - The severe heat will shunt off into Eastern Europe and Russia with some places exceeding 50.C there. We will be left with a strangely autumnal feeling month of Lows and rain which will put the kibosh on the CET at 15.9.C
August 2020 - Very tops turvy, with an unseasonal cold snap early on bringing frost and even snow in places. Thereafter a High pressure over the continent will feed the warmth of Eastern Europe and Russia in a Heat of the East event sending temperatures over 41.C in the UK with a nighttime low of 28.4.C Sadly this heat will be a transient several day feast before terrific thunderstorms clear it off and resume normal Atlantic service before Bank Holiday. CET of 19.6.C, a record for August if not overall.
September 2020- The bank of heat in Europe will return, with an absolute outlier of a month and Mediterranean conditions. CET of 19.1, record breaking and outrageous for the time of year.
October 2020 - The 1st will see a 30.C day before the heat gently subsides but continues to cool as the dominant High gains a rather wicked Siberian origin and the end of the month is more of a Oct 1997(?) with severe frosts and fog. CET 13.0.C, near record warmth, a record killed off dramatically by cold of last few days.
November 2020 - An unusual early season snowfall followed by a fairly Atlantic month but with much needed rain after a very dry Autumn. CET of 10.1.C
December 2020 - Like December 2015 on steroids until Christmas, 19.4.C recorded. An Arctic snap and Twixmas snow pulls the CET back to 9.5.C by end.
Also in 2020s...
2021 - very wet Autumn indeed.
2022 - Highest CET monthly value of decade in August 2022. A relentless heatwave seeing 40.C somewhere for over a week and the Met Office to issue a Level 4 warning.
2029 - A trial of the Urban Heat Island Cooling project which sees freshwater pumped from deep underground at dusk on the hottest evenings in parts of London and Birmingham onto buildings and roads. Locally shown to reduce temperatures temporarily by over 8.C and daily means by over 2.C. Widely employed technology by 2030s that actually inverts the effect of the urban heat islands in warmest days.
-
1
-
-
Sorry for late entry having password issues with former.
Late Feb 2018 was known for the Beast from the East (one of my favourite weather events of all time.) Last year the insanely mild weather and disgustingly over 21.C record. This year....... two extremes. Not of temperature but of weather type. Mid Feb will see major fog issues in the SE with mild to even warm daytime highs in mid to high teens crashing to mid or low single figures at night and grounding a few flights. Then before March starts an horrific Low below 930mb will crash into the UK on a reinvigorated jet stream and cause chaos. Storm Desmond methinks.
The upshot is slightly on the dry side (51mm) and a nauseatingly mild 7.5.C CET seeing it jockey for record breaking warmth.
Autumn 2020 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
At present here is my 3 month prediction.....
September 2020 - Bursts of Indian Summer and a Spanish plume or three. Highest temps will exceed 30.C with a couple of late tropical nights. However, in between there will be cooler, wetter incursions. I go with a CET of 16.2,C, warm end if not the warmest on record.
October 2020 - I think this will be unusually settled for an Autumn month with prolonged High pressure. This will mean some unseasonably warm days at times in the low to mid 20s but equally a small nudge in the High will cause a few frosty nights. CET of 12.7.C again warm end but not a record.
November 2020- Sunny and mild to start but turning increasingly more unsettled and Atlantic mid month with a cold snap at end. CET 7.7.C.
Overall, sunnier, drier and warmer than average and very close to but not quite mildest on record